Setting the record straight

Science/Technology

4502

Date: December 03, 2013 at 11:19:22
From: Roger Hunter, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Setting the record straight

After searching thru my old directories I came up with
the following information.

Petra's score was the highest I have examined (94%) but
only if all predictions were included. (93 hits)

But she had 52 aftershock predictions and 11
overlapping predictions.

Aftershocks are not accepted because they are of much
higher probability than the main quakes.

Overlaps are not allowed because the same quake may
fulfill both predictions, inflating the score.

So really, she only had 20 clean hits in 216 tries and
that is below chance.

Roger

Responses:
[4503] [4504]

4503

Date: December 03, 2013 at 11:22:30
From: Roger Hunter, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Setting the record straight; correction

Make that 30 clean hits.

Still below chance.

Roger

Responses:
[4504]

4504

Date: December 03, 2013 at 17:24:23
From: dib, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Ok, thanks, Roger. (NT)

(NT)

Responses:
None

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