This was in response to another thread, but it veered off the topic. Not sure if Science is the appropriate forum, sort of more ideological, but in my own mind it's certainly related to how science and pseudoscience are used and misused, and the blurry lines between politics and science.
I'm always hoping my sense of environmental situations, (not to mention political situations, or how they all interact), are overblown, that I'm exaggerating things in my own mind or that I'm reading sources that exaggerate. Then I see the numbers yet again, in yet another source, and feel overwhelmed. I think most people do. They don't want to believe them.
Sometimes I suspect that we perversely hope for some earth/space based natural cataclysmic event because the problems humanity itself causes are so overwhelming and we don't want to feel responsible. Or we want government institutions to be more responsible than they are (certainly business and government hold a huge share of the responsibility, but not as much as some want to assume). Blame HAARP, Bush, Obama, Putin, Icke's Reptilians, but so often the people seeking to lay the blame elsewhere (some legit, some not) fail to look in the mirror because they think something so insignificant as one human or even a a few billion collectively are too small to cause the changes they see.
And it's not to say I dismiss what are generally considered conspiracy theories in their entirety (though most of it I'd attribute to the failure of beaurocracy to either keep track of what each layer/group is doing, or the simple failure to see cause and effect, especially with multiple complex systems interacting with each other--in other words human oversight and sometimes outright stupidity. Which is then usually exploited for profit by a few).
Admittedly I don't always have the scientific background to be able to differentiate between science fact and pseudoscience speculation.
A lot of the theories (and yes, I'm aware that I'm misusing the word, perhaps "speculations" would be better, but "theory" communicates the strength of belief of the person making the claims...) have a plausible premise, but the way people push them to extremes that don't match what I do know of the science...strikes me as so much grasping at straws. Chemtrails for example. Other theories...plausible that they're under development for any number of reasons, but I honestly don't think we're to the point yet where the people supposedly behind it have the sophistication needed in the application of the technology. A lot of the things attributed to HAARP for example.
To use chemtrails as one example among many possibilities that I've been turning over and over in my own mind, as a friend of mine keeps bringing them up as the cause of every ill:
Folks see contrails and some state that they feel sick while the trails are visible....given the height the time it would take for such particles to precipitate downward and given how the wind blows in different directions at different altitudes....just the amounts of time and the physics of air movement, temperature, condensation involved suggest that these people are experiencing symptoms psychosomatically. Now those that experience symptoms hours or days later...THAT might be a different story if there's anything to the chemtrail theory, but the ones that state they feel symptoms while the trails are visible....nope, sorry. Nothing they spray at that height would get to you that quickly. I find it fascinating how many folks spray their lawns, then blame their illnesses on chemtrails.
(I bite my tongue when dealing with a specific person in real life, the "you" refers to how I wish I could say this to them). Nice that your phobia of dandilions and your need to stick to the status quo has you blaming anything but yourself, when the chemicals you spray have been repeatedly connected to the illnesses you have, but you believe THAT to be the conspiracy theory while you choose to believe that the contrail you see is causing all your symptoms.
I don't dismiss the chemtrail theory/hypothesis/speculation (the extreme manifestations of it, I do, but not the entire premise), but there are a lot of more probable causes. If you choose to believe the less likely theory instead of experimenting with making your own lifestyle changes on other factors that have more evidence in their favor of causing said issues, then you're part of the problem.
Human-caused global warming (or as I prefer, climate change, since the differing pressures can cause cooling in some places and warming in others as air currents are pushed into areas they aren't normally) would be another instance where both extremes (both complete disbelief, and the idea that every single weather event in the history of humans since the discovery of fire is triggered by human cause) are equally frustrating to me, and don't help anyone. In this case I find it fascinating how many people want to attribute to HAARP (or chemtrails) weather or climate events which I would firmly attribute to industrialization based climate change OR perhaps a spike caused by an increase in volcanic eruptions, or most likely the combination of factors.
I could go on with other examples, but you get the point. People don't want personal responsibility, they want to blame another entity in the most distancing way they can. As far as climate change is concerned, those who want to believe that government and industry are the magic cure-alls often choose to be complete denialists, claiming it doesn't exist or that it's part of the natural cycle of the earth (at least those who claim the latter are trying to think things through, I have more respect for them than the denialists). Then there are those who want someone else to blame--HAARP, chemtrails. Anything but the common people just trying to get through from day to day. Of those who want to place the blame anywhere but themselves, the ones that assign it to industry and profit motives are probably the most accurate, but the main driving force behind that is still the common people....ourselves.
It's not to say that there isn't withholding of information and inventions by those industries for profit, I personally know someone who invented a water/steam based engine that ran soelely on water, and I've seen it work. He sold the patent to a company that promised to promote it, never a word, and then legal threats and physical threats when he tried to follow up on it and make it more publically known himself. I know it happens.
But the irony is, this is because we want more and more conveniences. Instead of making sacrifices, we expect the inventions to allow us to keep our lifestyle, new inventions to reduce pollution but allow us to keep all the conveniences, and we sit and wait for it while continuing with our habits (I'm guilty, yes). And so, we sit, complacent, an blame everything on conspiracies or things beyond our control. Anything but ourselves. Humanity as a mass is pretty overwhelming. I have my doubts in the face of that. But it's the mass of humanity, the choices it makes as a mass, that generates the ill health, the pollution, the environmental issues as much as the institutions profiting from it, and it's human habits, lawn chemicals, etc, that hit a lot closer to home and cause a lot more problems than chemtrails could even if they are themselves a valid cause of problems.
You can scream all you want at others, and you might be screaming at valid concerns and problems. But if you do so without changing yourself, you continue to spray your lawn, pollute with your car, use packaging heavy products or pesticide heavy products, you actually ARE your own problem and a significant factor that allows the greater bulk of those outward problems to continue.
I go through phases where I do my damnedness to change myself, and other phases where I give up (and sometimes rant at others) simply becauuse I'm overwhelmed. I'm not saying any of this without a certain sense of self-irony and blame.
It's not just about the individual, it's not just about the collective, but when people grasp and shape half-truths and speculations without due criticism and consideration in order to deny their own responsibility...Sometimes it's infuriating, other times, saddening, other times...I don't know. We could do so much good if we could quit being distracted and blaming things beyond our control. It's such wasted energy (and sometimes perhaps wasted in not going far enough, posting videos without commentary, or supporting evidence...none of the videos here convince me of anything, if anything they fascinate me with the very religious certainty they use, the vocabulary I remember in church, or in the spiritual groups I experimented with and then left after leaving the church....simply reformatted in a new context made to sound scientific but not quite managing it, and with too many internal contradictions to be worthwhile). This goes for the ones that promote speculations I agree with as much as the ones I disagree with, and that perhaps is even more frustrating. To see a hypothesis you firmly stand behind get butchered so badly is maddening.
The ironic thing right now is that I'm not sure this entire post isn't just more of the very thing I'm complaining about.
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