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17939 |
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Date: February 06, 2022 at 04:24:21
From: akira, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Terrestrial warming and cooling: Either or both? |
URL: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7575223/ |
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Temperature (Austin). 2020; 7(3): 215–216. Published online 2020 Sep 17. doi: 10.1080/23328940.2020.1818914 PMCID: PMC7575223 PMID: 33123617
Terrestrial warming and cooling: Either or both?
Andrej A. Romanovsky Author information Copyright and License information Disclaimer The main focus of the journal Temperature is on the interactions between temperature and life; in fact, the journal’s motto is: “Temperature is life!” [1]. In agreement with this focus, Temperature has been covering some biologically relevant aspects of climate change. One of Temperature’s Editorial Board members, Camille Parmesan, participated in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC); together with the former US Vice-President Al Gore, the panel was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize in 2007 “for their efforts to build up and disseminate greater knowledge about man-made climate change, and to lay the foundations for the measures that are needed to counteract such change.” In the first volume of Temperature, Camille Parmesan published an essay about her fascinating journey in science [2]. In the same issue, Robyn Hetem and her colleagues published a comprehensive review on responses of large mammals to climate change [3]. Lučka Kajfež Bogataj, another IPCC participant, coauthored two articles published in Temperature [4,5]. One of these articles [5] is an editorial introducing HEAT-SHIELD, a European Union-funded inter-sectoral research project aimed at shielding the population from the increasing frequency and magnitude of heat events.
A main direction of modern research on climate change and of IPCC activities involves studies using modeling and connecting terrestrial temperatures to carbon dioxide levels. Cumulatively, these studies suggest that air temperatures on our planet are generally (“on average”) increasing, which has been linked to rising carbon dioxide. Of course, the carbon dioxide-based approach to understanding climate change is not the only one. Recently, the journal Scientific Reports published a paper by Valentina Zharkova et al. [6], in which the authors focus on the fact that terrestrial temperatures are affected by activity of the Sun and, according to the research presented in the paper, closely correlate with the total solar irradiance. Extrapolating these correlations into the future, the authors predict that “ … substantial temperature decreases are expected … to occur in 2020–2055 and 2370–2415” [6]. Wait a minute, is the Earth currently warming or cooling? Or is it exhibiting a long-term warming trend with some short-term cooling occurring on top of it?
In addition to the scientific intrigue, it is also puzzling to me how the Editors of Scientific Reports handled the Zharkova et al. [6] article. After the article passed peer review and was published, it received critical comments on the journal’s website (the so-called post-publication peer review), and the Editors retracted the paper. In the retraction notice, the Editors explained that the retraction was based on a scientific error [6], and the retraction was accepted by one of the four authors of the retracted work. While different publishers and journals have different policies, it is rather unusual to retract a paper based on an error – not on any misconduct. Errors in published papers are typically corrected in errata. If all scientific papers containing honest errors were retracted, not too many would be left for us to read! It is also important to note that, in the Zharkova et al. case, the alleged error did not seem to interfere with the analyses presented in the “main” portion of the paper, and neither did it change the authors’ main conclusion.
Zharkova’s work, her provocative predictions, and the retraction of her article received a lot of attention in the media, including mainstream newspapers such as the Washington Post and Guardian. I thought the readers of the journal Temperature would be interested in hearing from Professor Valentina Zharkova, first-hand. I invited her to write an editorial and to explain, in layman’s terms, to us – biologists and physicians – what her work says about the thermal future of our planet. You can read Valentina Zharkova’s thoughts on this topic in this issue of Temperature [7]. I hope Temperature readers agree that we need more original approaches to research, more discussion, and more effort to explain our ideas to others, especially across disciplines. Errors happen, and this is fine. Different studies – all arguably imperfect – lead to different conclusions, and this is fine too.
Go to: References [1] Romanovsky AA. New research journals are needed and can compete with titans. Temperature. 2014;1(1):1–5. doi:10.4161/temp.27666. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [CrossRef] [Google Scholar]
[2] Parmesan C. From medicine to butterflies and back again. Temperature. 2014;1(2):67–70. doi:10.4161/temp.29789. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [CrossRef] [Google Scholar]
[3] Hetem R, Fuller A, Maloney SK, et al. Responses of large mammals to climate change. Temperature. 2014;1(2):115–127. doi: 10.4161/temp.29651. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
[4] Ioannou LG, Tsoutsoubi L, Samoutis G, et al. Time-motion analysis as a novel approach for evaluating the impact of environmental heat exposure on labor loss in agriculture workers. Temperature. 2017;4(3):330–340. doi:10.1080/23328940.2017.1338210. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [CrossRef] [Google Scholar]
[5] Nybo L, Kjellstrom T, Kajfez Bogataj L, et al. Global heating: attention is not enough; we need acute and appropriate actions. Temperature. 2017;4(3):199–201. doi:10.1080/23328940.2017.1338930. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [CrossRef] [Google Scholar]
[6] Zharkova V, Shepherd SJ, Zharkov SI, et al. Retracted article. Oscillations of the baseline of solar magnetic field and solar irradiance on a millennial timescale. Sci Rep. 2019;9(1):9197. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar] Retracted
[7] Zharkova V. Modern grand solar minimum will lead to terrestrial cooling. Temperature. 2020;7(3):215–216. doi:10.1080/23328940.2020.1796243. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [CrossRef] [Google Scholar] Articles from Temperature: Multidisciplinary Biomedical Journal are provided here courtesy of Taylor & Francis
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Responses:
[17948] [17949] [17951] [17940] [17942] [17943] [17944] |
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17948 |
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Date: February 07, 2022 at 11:13:55
From: pamela, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Terrestrial warming and cooling: Either or both? |
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Its very controversial, isn't it? I have studied/read most of these myself including the Zharkova et al info. What I find is that all of these do not take into account the real geoengineering going on for decades, which Jim Lee's, Climateviewer covers,(links below) showing the newspapers, websites, science projects, etc all aimed at changing the weather. No CT there. He's done his homework. So if one wants to take a gander at his on- going work, its worth a good long look.
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Responses:
[17949] [17951] |
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17949 |
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Date: February 08, 2022 at 09:06:23
From: akira, [DNS_Address]
Subject: thanks |
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thanks for bringing the topic up on the other board. It's definitely something I'll be exploring & paying attention to. Thanks for all your posts.
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Responses:
[17951] |
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17951 |
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Date: February 08, 2022 at 10:49:49
From: pamela, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: thanks |
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Sorry to see you go but I understand. National board is very toxic. Thanks for all your posts and take care and see you around.
THe 2 recent posts I made about the geoengineering are here on Envirowatchers, if you want to check them out.
Date: January 20, 2022 at 06:36:46 From: pamela Subject: Ionospheric Heaters & What is HAARP? Part 2 URL: https://youtu.be/yuUCSqJLVOo
Ionospheric Heaters & What is HAARP? Part 2
WATCH PART 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0U3IR... DOWNLOAD PRESENTATION: https://climateviewer.com/2018/11/14/...
SUPPORT & CONNECT WITH CLIMATEVIEWER: https://connect.climateviewer.com/
This video by James F. Lee Jr. (ClimateViewer News, LLC) is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution- NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/...
Date: February 03, 2022 at 11:58:10 From: pamela Subject: Solar Geoengineering Banned But Still Going Ahead URL: https://youtu.be/SRb4SrVEVRc
Solar Geoengineering Banned But Still Going Ahead 102 watching now Started streaming 33 minutes ago
SUPPORT & CONNECT WITH CLIMATEVIEWER: https://connect.climateviewer.com/
Reflecting Sunlight: Recommendations for Solar Geoengineering Research and Research Governance (2021) http://nap.edu/25762
Convention on Biological Diversity Ban on Geoengineering (2011) https://www.cbd.int/climate/geoengine...
Stratospheric Sulfur Geoengineering - Benefits and Risks (2018) https://weathermodificationhistory.co... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dmxZ_...
Solar Geoengineering: Warnings from Scientists, Indigenous Peoples, Youth, and Climate Activists (2021) https://stopsolargeo.org/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jbwCN...
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17940 |
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Date: February 06, 2022 at 04:31:27
From: akira, [DNS_Address]
Subject: 2013: Deep solar minimum and global climate changes |
URL: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25685420/ |
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w J Adv Res . 2013 May;4(3):209-14. doi: 10.1016/j.jare.2012.11.001. Epub 2013 Feb 18. Deep solar minimum and global climate changes
Ahmed A Hady 1 Affiliations expand PMID: 25685420 PMCID: PMC4295040 DOI: 10.1016/j.jare.2012.11.001 Free PMC article Abstract
This paper examines the deep minimum of solar cycle 23 and its potential impact on climate change. In addition, a source region of the solar winds at solar activity minimum, especially in the solar cycle 23, the deepest during the last 500 years, has been studied. Solar activities have had notable effect on palaeoclimatic changes. Contemporary solar activity are so weak and hence expected to cause global cooling. Prevalent global warming, caused by building-up of green-house gases in the troposphere, seems to exceed this solar effect. This paper discusses this issue.
Keywords: Climate change; Deep solar minimum; Global cooling; Solar activity.
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Responses:
[17942] [17943] [17944] |
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17942 |
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Date: February 06, 2022 at 09:08:25
From: chaskuchar@stcharlesmo, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: 2013: Deep solar minimum and global climate changes |
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thank you for informative articles. especially for the retraction of the solar paper.
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Responses:
[17943] [17944] |
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17943 |
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Date: February 06, 2022 at 13:02:32
From: akira, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: 2013: Deep solar minimum and global climate changes |
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did you see her study below, Modern Grand Solar Minimum will lead to terrestrial cooling
She's come to some disturbingly definitive conclusions and nobody seems to be talking about it.
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Responses:
[17944] |
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17944 |
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Date: February 06, 2022 at 13:46:13
From: chaskuchar@stcharlesmo, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: 2013: Deep solar minimum and global climate changes |
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i have been reading about it for the last couple of years. i agree the the solar cycles are aiming for a grand minimum. might be more than the maunder mininmum. thank you for your posting about these scientific observations. many years ago i received abstracts for the bioelectromagnetic society and formatted and arranged them for the annual meetings. learned a lot about magnetism and electromagnetism. still keep copies of the book of abstracts as sentimental memories.
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