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23303 |
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Date: July 21, 2024 at 08:38:29
From: Cory , [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Jack Coles earthquake forecaster |
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Jack has told me this morning tha
there is still hard signals for
southern areas still pending.
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[23309] [23304] [23306] [23307] [23308] |
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23309 |
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Date: July 23, 2024 at 17:06:53
From: EQF, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Jack Coles earthquake forecaster |
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Posted by EQF on July 23, 2024
Perhaps the main problem that earthquake forecasters such as Jack, Shan, and Dr. Lowell Whiteside have is the fact that they aren't maintaining clear and easy to access and understand records regarding the successes and failures of their forecasting methods.
In Dr. Whiteside's case, it is difficult or impossible to even contact him. I have spent a considerable amount of time trying to do that in order to provide him with important information regarding other forecasting methods, with no success at all.
There are excellent records at my own Earthquake Forecasting Web site that clearly document the success that my own forecasting method had with detecting the approach of virtually all major earthquakes going back to the start of 2001.
When the approach of a major earthquake was not detected it was usually because the approaching earthquake itself did not generate the types of electromagnetic signals that I work with.
Not all earthquakes are equal.
Anyone with even a moderately good background in physics should be able to understand the earthquake forecasting method explanation information at my Web site with relatively little time and effort spent on reading through those explanation data.
There is even very easy to use information at my Web site regarding how people can easily process my forecasting data and use it to watch for their own approaching earthquakes.
In summary, most earthquake forecasters are their own worst enemies. Generally, they don't know what they need to do to get things done. And likely, they often don't even care about that.
As I have said repeatedly, most of them will go off to their eternal rewards before they are successful in saving a single life. Several whom I have compared notes with over the years have already died without accomplishing a thing as far as earthquake forecasting goes.
They were working with methods that work. They simply didn't know how to effectively circulate information regarding their methods.
At the moment, earthquake forecasters are on their own regarding getting anything done. Government officials and other members of the international scientific community are not interested in anyone's forecasting method.
I would be an exception to that as I have gone to great lengths over the years to understand and then get information circulated regarding other people's forecasting methods.
These are personal opinions.
Regards to all,
EQF
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23304 |
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Date: July 21, 2024 at 14:54:48
From: mimici/socal, [DNS_Address]
Subject: guatemala |
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I'm guessing today's 6.2 in Guatemala satisfies his
southernmost CA-->Mexico forecast. Just a tiny bit
further south of what he was thinking. He's had several
hits lately. Unfortunately people don't seem to get it.
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Responses:
[23306] [23307] [23308] |
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23306 |
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Date: July 22, 2024 at 07:40:25
From: EQF, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Universal Lack Of Interest In Forecasting Earthquakes - July 22, 2024 |
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Posted by EQF on July 22, 2024
Governments probably rarely express any interest in developing earthquake forecasting programs in spite of the fact that earthquakes are likely easier to predict than the weather.
One of the main problems appears to me to be the fact that international scientists who should be trying to get governments interested in forecasting earthquakes don't appear to me to be very highly motivated.
My own efforts to get governments etc. moving on this have so far not been very successful. I am still working on this.
There might have finally been at least some change with that lack of interest problem.
In April of 2024 there was a powerful and destructive 7.4 magnitude earthquake in Taiwan.
Taiwan government officials reportedly told news service personnel that they were watching for an earthquake. But they were expecting one in the 5.5 magnitude range.
I expect that they got their forecast data from a service that sells or attempts to sell forecasting data. If so, I know who those people are.
If that is the case, it is an indicator that at least one government has decided that it might be possible to predict earthquakes and they are admitting in public that they are taking an interest in the subject matter.
If time ever permits, I plan to contact Taiwan government officials about this.
There are other earthquake forecasting programs out there including one that I run. A forecast for a 5.5 magnitude quake is pretty far from a forecast for a 7.4 magnitude quake. The more forecast data available to governments, they more likely that they will know when a significant earthquake is approaching.
These are personal opinions.
Regards to all,
EQF
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23307 |
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Date: July 22, 2024 at 08:29:20
From: eaamon, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Universal Lack Of Interest In Forecasting Earthquakes - July 22,... |
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silence is golden. remember the Italian geologist that failed to notify the local
government when farmers notified him of their animals reacting to the coming
quake. he was jailed for neglect and I forget how many died as homes collapsed.
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[23308] |
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23308 |
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Date: July 23, 2024 at 16:15:08
From: EQF, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Universal Lack Of Interest In Forecasting Earthquakes - July... |
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Posted by EQF on July 23, 2024
I had not heard that particular story. But, few things related to earthquakes and Italy would surprise me.
I did make a major effort to get in touch with that researcher in Italy who predicted an earthquake based on radon gas being detected if I remember correctly. I also tried to contact government officials in the town where that trial took place regarding a group of scientists and government officials regarding that quake that reportedly claimed more than 300 lives.
If I understood this correctly, all the scientists and government officials were convicted. However, all the scientists had their verdicts cancelled by Italy's government. One government official's verdict was approved and he went to jail.
These are personal opinions.
EQF
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