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23064 |
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Date: December 03, 2023 at 05:20:44
From: Leonardo, [DNS_Address]
Subject: M 7.3+ 2-10 Dec 23 17:30 U Timing only forecast |
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#19 M 7.3+ 2-10 Dec. 23 17:30 U Timing Forecast
#19. Forecasting a magnitude 7.3 + or larger quake to strike "somewhere in the world" during the eight (8) day period starting at:
17:30 UTC,
2 Dec. 2023 to
10 Dec. 2023
This is an experimental "timing only" forecast
__"For Entertainment Purposes Only"__.
This is a test to see if previous experimental results/ (inferred) correlations duplicate / repeat moving forward OR if they are merely the result of coincidence (or chance odds) and therefore any presumed physical linkage concepts maybe unsupported and likely do not exist
Posted: 12-03-23 13:20 UTC E.
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Responses:
[23065] [23068] |
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23065 |
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Date: December 09, 2023 at 11:47:35
From: Leonardo, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Hit=) Mag 7.3 7 Dec 23 12:56 UTC |
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A hit per Tsunami.gov (at 12-9-23 19:42 UTC)
12-07-2023 12:56:30 7.3 22 Mi. 20.7° S 169.2° E VANUATU Guam/CNMI Informational #1 Select Resource 12-07-2023 13:08:03 12-07-2023 12:56:30 7.3 22 Mi. 20.7° S 169.2° E VANUATU American Samoa Informational #1 Select Resource 12-07-2023 13:06:05 12-07-2023 12:56:30 7.3 22 Mi. 20.7° S 169.2° E NEAR THE VANUATU ISLANDS AK/BC/US West Coast Informational #1 Select Resource 12-07-2023 13:05:37 12-07-2023 12:56:30 7.3 22 Mi. 20.7° S 169.2° E VANUATU Hawaii Informational #1 Select Resource 12-07-2023 13:04:54 12-07-2023 12:56:30 7.3 22 Mi. 20.7° S 169.2° E VANUATU Non-US/Canada Pacific Threat #1
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Responses:
[23068] |
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23068 |
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Date: December 11, 2023 at 10:29:47
From: Skywise, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Hit=) Mag 7.3 7 Dec 23 12:56 UTC |
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The tsunami.gov site is using by the preliminary computer generated magnitude BEFORE human review.
USGS currently lists the quake as a 7.1 AFTER human review.
Don't jump the gun too quickly.
Technically a miss due to magnitude.
FYI, a 0.2 magnitude difference is ~2 time the energy, so a 7.1 is only half the energy of a 7.3 magnitude quake.
But, keep trying.
Brian
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Responses:
None |
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