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23055 |
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Date: November 07, 2023 at 23:17:09
From: Leonardo, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Mag. 7.3+ 8-16 Nov. 23 2:34 UT Timing only forecast |
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(Mag. 7.1 happened before
posting)
#18) M7.3+ 8-16 Nov. 23 2:34 UT
Timing only forecast
Forecasting a magnitude 7.3 + or
larger quake to strike
"somewhere in the world" during
the eight (8) day period
starting at:
02:34 am UTC,
8 Nov. 2023 to
16 Nov. 2023
This is an experimental "timing
only" forecast
__"For Entertainment Purposes
Only"_.
This is a test to see if
previous experimental results/
(inferred) correlations
duplicate / repeat moving
forward
OR
if they are merely the result of
coincidence (or chance odds) and
therefore any presumed physical
linkage concepts maybe
unsupported and likely do not
exist
Posted: 11-08-23 07:16 UTC
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Responses:
[23066] [23067] |
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23066 |
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Date: December 09, 2023 at 12:15:39
From: Leonardo, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Mag. 7.1. 8 Nov. 23 4:53 UTC plus 2 M. 6.7s |
URL: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us7000l9h4/executive |
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Could have been rated a Mag. 7.3 by
Tsunami.gov in which case it would
have been a Hit or successful forecast.
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us70
00l9h4/executive
M 7.1 - Banda Sea
2023-11-08 04:53:50 (UTC)6.419°S 129.547°E10.0 km dep
Tectonic Summary
The November 8, 2023, M 7.1 earthquake in the Banda
Sea occurred as a result of strike-slip faulting at
shallow depth. This event was preceded
approximately 1 minute earlier by an M 6.7
earthquake, referred to as a foreshock, with a
similar mechanism and location. These events occurred
in the Banda Sea in a region of complex tectonics,
broadly defined by the boundary between the Australia
and Sunda Plates.
Total energy for these 3 quakes
Within the window might close
on a Mag. 7.3+ (which was forecasted)
6.7
Banda Sea
2023-11-08 13:02:06 (UTC)
10.0 km
7.1
Banda Sea
2023-11-08 04:53:50 (UTC)
10.0 km
6.7
Banda Sea
2023-11-08 04:52:51 (UTC)
10.0 km
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Responses:
[23067] |
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23067 |
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Date: December 09, 2023 at 12:39:08
From: Leonardo, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Almost:: Mag. 7.2. 17 Nov. 23 8:14 UTC |
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Per tsunami.gov "previous
message"
search:
"A day late & a 0.1 mag. short"
-------------
11-17-2023 08:30:41
11-17-2023 08:14:13 7.2
43 (Mi.) 5.6 ° N 125.3 °
E MINDANAO PHILIPPINES
Guam/CNMI Informational #1
Select Resource
11-17-2023 08:30:16
11-17-2023 08:14:15 7.2
43 (Mi.) 5.6 ° N 125.3 °
E in Mindanao, Philippine
Islands AK/BC/US West Coast
Informational #1
Select Resource
11-17-2023 08:30:02
11-17-2023 08:14:13 7.2
43 (Mi.) 5.6 ° N 125.3 °
E MINDANAO PHILIPPINES
American Samoa Informational #1
Select Resource
11-17-2023 08:29:35
11-17-2023 08:14:13 7.2
43 (Mi.) 5.6 ° N 125.3 °
E MINDANAO PHILIPPINES
Hawaii Informational #1
Select Resource
11-17-2023 08:28:45
11-17-2023 08:14:13 7.2
43 (Mi.) 5.6 ° N 125.3 °
E MINDANAO PHILIPPINES
Non-US/Canada Pacific
Informational #1
Select Resource
11-08-2023 05:12:44
11-08-2023 04:52:51 6.9
6 (Mi.) 6.5 ° S 129.8 ° E
in the Banda Sea, Indonesia
AK/BC/US West Coast
Informational #1
Select Resource
11-08-2023 05:12:35
11-08-2023 04:52:52 6.9
6 (Mi.) 6.5 ° S 129.8 ° E
BANDA SEA Guam/CNMI
Informational #1
Select Resource
11-08-2023 05:12:09
11-08-2023 04:52:52 6.9
6 (Mi.) 6.5 ° S 129.8 ° E
BANDA SEA American Samoa
Informational #1
Select Resource
11-08-2023 05:11:41
11-08-2023 04:52:52 6.9
6 (Mi.) 6.5 ° S 129.8 ° E
BANDA SEA Hawaii
Informational #1
Select Resource
11-08-2023 05:11:06
11-08-2023 04:52:52 6.9
6 (Mi.) 6.5 ° S 129.8 ° E
BANDA SEA Non-US/Canada
Pacific Informational #1
Select Resource
This forecast may be "beating
chance odds" with a 0.1 lower
Mag. threshold and adding a day
to the 8 day time frame /
window...(?)
9D23 20:38 utc
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Responses:
None |
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