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23041 |
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Date: October 15, 2023 at 15:21:34
From: EQF, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Earthquake And EQ Warning - Oct. 15, 2023 |
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EARTHQUAKE AND EARTHQUAKE WARNING - Posted by EQF on October 15, 2023
Another deadly earthquake has been reported in Afghanistan.
Reports have stated that there were 2 fatalities. I expect that that number will increase during this coming week.
HIGH INTENSITY EM SIGNALS
Quite a few high intensity EM Signals have been detected during the past few weeks.
Some of those signals were likely related to the earthquake that just occurred in Afghanistan.
Others could be pointing to the approach of coming seismic activity in Afghanistan and possibly elsewhere.
My computer programs are working on the data.
During the past few days, the sun and moon were at around the same location in the sky with regard to both latitude and longitude.
Additionally, the Gravity Point (GP) value that I calculate was especially high. That means that tidal forces on the Earth's crust were quite strong.
GP strength involves the locations of the sun and the moon in the sky plus how close the sun and moon are to the Earth. Its value when powerful earthquakes occur and when EM Signals are detected has been present on my Earthquake Forecasting Web site charts for several months now.
The newest charts should be available by next Tuesday of all goes well.
2 MAJOR PROBLEMS
1. When significant earthquakes occur and when strong EM Signals are detected, I try to update all of my Earthquake Forecasting charts including the ones from that ground tilt Earthquake Forecasting Web site. But this takes so long that the next significant earthquake can occur before I can do the updates.
I am constantly working on trying to speed up that updating process. There has now been a dramatic reduction in the time that it takes me to upload the finalized data. That used to take much too long because of my slow upload and download Internet speeds.
2. Perhaps the most significant problem for anyone doing earthquake forecasting work involves efforts to try to warn governments that an earthquake could be approaching.
Even after all of these years, decades, and centuries, there are no effective data circulation resources available anywhere on the planet. This present forum is likely one of the best for doing that at this time.
As a consequence, it is virtually impossible to warn governments that a significant earthquake could be approaching.
THE MAIN CULPRITS WITH THAT SECOND PROBLEM
1. The worst group of culprits are international scientific community personnel.
Too often, scientists who should be doing this work are more worried about their careers than they are about the value of human life.
Earthquake Forecasting can be a controversial science because of the politics. But it CAN be managed. Most scientists are simply not interested in attempting to do that. Most have never developed the political and communications skills needed for that.
2. The second worst group of culprits are world governments. They are demanding that scientists generate earthquake forecasts that are accurate regarding location, time, and magnitude.
At the present time, that is impossible for any earthquake forecasting method that I am aware of. However, high quality data are presently available for any one or two of those variables with a given earthquake forecasting method.
Those data could be combined to generate fairly accurate forecasts. But governments are not interested in doing that. Human life is just not that important to them.
3. The third group of culprits are the earthquake forecasters themselves.
Instead of sharing data and working with one another they most often fight like cats and dogs with one another. Or they simply don’t make it easy to compare notes regarding their data.
The combined result of those three problems associated with that second major problem is the fact that earthquakes that could be relatively easy to predict are not being effectively predicted.
This coming week I am planning to try to get some progress made with regard to dealing with those three problems.
I DO actually know how to deal with those problems. But that unfortunately takes a lot of time and effort.
These are personal opinions.
Regards to all,
EQF
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Responses:
[23046] [23047] [23056] [23059] [23057] [23048] [23044] |
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23046 |
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Date: October 22, 2023 at 09:09:24
From: EQF, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Updaae and a Comment for Mr. Bopp- Oct. 22, 2023 |
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UPDATE and a Comment for Mr. Bopp - Posted by EQF on October 22, 2023
This "Comment for Mr. Bopp" would technically be considered "Off Topic" for this present forum. However, since YOU are running the forum, it is likely appropriate. You make the rules.
OPPENHEIMER - The Movie
You have probably already seen the movie Oppenheimer. It was quite interesting. It surprised me that so many people who are likely not interested in World War II subjects like that one still went to see the movie.
If you haven't seen it and don't want to spend $50 for a ticket plus a bag of popcorn and a cup of pop then you might check the following Web site:
https://archive.org/details/oppenheimer-1980-hd/
That is the old BBC Oppenheimer series from back around 1980. There are seven 1 hour parts in the series.
I thought that they were just as interesting as this year's movie and perhaps even better. You aren't constantly deluged with all of that screen information going by at 100 miles an hour. I have probably seen the full series a good 3 times over the years as I thought that the subject matter was so interesting.
Additi9onally,
As you have a degree in physics you likely remember with a considerable amount of irritation having been lectured endlessly during undergraduate school regarding the:
Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle
If you go to youtube.com and do some checking you can find some good videos regarding the following:
Oppenheimer versus Heisenberg versus Einstein
For some reason, when they endlessly discuss that uncertainty principle, college and university physics professors manage to avoid discussing what it appears to me to be the fact that Heisenberg looks like he was running the German war effort to develop a fission device.
His image was likely deliberately "whitewashed" by the international scientific community over the years.
This effort might have been associated with the fact that he won a Nobel Prize for physics. It could be embarrassing for everyone if the scientific community told everyone about this while they were being lectured regarding the uncertainty principle.
Brilliant people unfortunately do not always make the best choices in life. Heisenberg could be regarded as a good example of that.
At one point, Oppenheimer reportedly tried to get him to work with him here in the U.S. on the Manhattan Project. Heisenberg reportedly declined the offer.
It is a little shocking but not too surprising that the earlier version of the U.S. spy agency came close to having Heisenberg shot if it looked like Germany was getting close to developing a fission device.
It is also a little shocking that Oppenheimer reportedly tried to poison an apple that one of his professors was scheduled to eat. He may have been a brilliant and effective scientist, but he was reportedly also a little unbalanced as that episode demonstrated.
If I had time I would like to write the director of Oppenheimer, the movie, and try to get him interested in doing "Oppenheimer II." They appear to have made plenty of money with the original and could likely afford such an effort.
That sequel would not go into so much detail regarding Oppenheimer's life but would include a lot more material regarding the Manhattan Project what all of the things that different nations were doing regarding nuclear fission back around that time.
After the war, Einstein reportedly advised Oppenheimer to be wary of all of the politics surrounding developing fission and fusion devices. He reportedly ignored Einstein's advice resulting in Einstein proposing that he must be crazy.
The World War II era was an absolutely fascinating time and age for scientists. It was also a horrible time for everyone else on the planet.
BACK TO ON TOPIC NEWS
My Earthquake Forecasting Web page should be updated with the latest files within a few hours. I wanted to include information regarding that recent deadly Afghanistan earthquake (2 or more dead).
EARTHQUAKE FORECASTING COMPUTER PROGRAM
There are a large number of calculation and data presentation options included in my earthquake forecasting computer program. So much time was spent during the past few years adding new features to the program that I largely forgot about some of the earlier really powerful routines.
I finally finished most of those updates and am now going back and learning how to use the features that were developed years ago.
One of them lets the user determine if the program data for a given earthquake will actually appear if the program is instructed to test the earthquake itself.
The program is so complex that at times it reports that other past earthquakes looked more like the one being tested than the earthquake itself.
This is the result of the fact that the original program code calculations were never optimized.
If I can get a group of expert computer programmers to work on new versions of the program, it will be organized so that it will optimize its own code as it is being run.
These are personal opinions.
Regards to all,
EQF
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Responses:
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23047 |
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Date: October 22, 2023 at 10:23:22
From: mr bopp, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Updaae and a Comment for Mr. Bopp- Oct. 22, 2023 |
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don't make it a habit...better fit on the science board...
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Responses:
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23056 |
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Date: November 09, 2023 at 09:07:07
From: blindhog 6th sense, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Question: Why Then Do You Let it Be a Habit for a Poster on Groans... |
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...predict where they think earthquakes are
supposed to occur, when the board for that is
Rock and Roll?
Aren't those predictions (really, guesses)
presumptive and beyond the scope of Groans?
According to your own rules one should just
give the groans on Groans and give the
predictions on Rock and Roll.
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23059 |
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Date: November 10, 2023 at 18:36:23
From: pamela, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Question: Why Then Do You Let it Be a Habit for a Poster on... |
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Groans is not a prediction forum, posting on groans is
for those making correlations of symptoms with places on
earth by those who are tracking them with trial and
error testing, for me that is. I call them watches not
predictions. And since I pick up severe storms, quakes,
volcanoes, it serves to post the symptoms on groans.
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23057 |
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Date: November 09, 2023 at 09:15:37
From: mr bopp, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Question: Why Then Do You Let it Be a Habit for a Poster on... |
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groans is groans...it takes care of itself...don't fuck it up...
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23048 |
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Date: October 22, 2023 at 15:49:35
From: EQF, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Updaae - Oct. 22, 2023 |
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Posted by EQF on October 22, 2023
Got It.
Generally I rarely ever discuss subjects like that except on my own Web site.
As you have a degree in physics I thought that you might be interested in the material regarding the "Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle" as his work in that area has been so important to our understanding of quantum mechanical phenomena taking place at the atomic scale and smaller.
BACK TO EARTHQUAKE FORECASTING
The recent batch of high intensity EM Signals has ended. No more are being detected.
They appear to probably have been associated with both those recent Afghanistan earthquakes and the fact that the sun and moon were in the same location in the sky around the time they were being detected.
My programs indicate that the next time that will happen will be around October 29, 2023. So, if there is more significant earthquake activity approaching then that would be a higher probability time for it.
With early analyses, those recent Afghanistan earthquakes did not look typical. They don't match past earthquakes for that general area or even one another and look more like somewhat random events.
Regards to all,
EQF
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23044 |
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Date: October 15, 2023 at 20:13:22
From: Skywise, [DNS_Address]
Subject: you've got me scratching my head.... |
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...wondering about something you've said before and said again.
"...my slow upload and download Internet speeds."
According to your own statements and claims, you have a degree in
something, and work very busily in the field of disaster mitigation.
This would lead one to believe that you make a decent amount of money. I
mean, something where you can afford basic internet access at a reasonable
speed at least.
I am often mobile with my laptop and sometimes rely on free wifi, which is
typically only 10 megabit. I find this plenty fast enough to use the
internet, even upload files, including videos. I can watch Amazon Prime
movies or YouTube videos at 1080p just fine.
Most of the time, though, I just use my phone's hotspot, which has 5G
access and has been clocked at over 100 megabit speeds.
I only pay $50/month for my phone plan.
I bring this up because sometimes you make it sound like you're still on
dial-up.
Your webpages aren't very big. In fact, you're current Data.html page with
all its charts only comes in at 30.4 MB. Even at an anemic 1 megabit, that
wouldn't even take 5 minutes to transfer. On my hotspot it was less than 5
seconds.
Brian
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