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22704 |
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Date: December 23, 2022 at 07:50:12
From: EQF, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Important note for all earthquake forecasters - Dec. 23, 2022 |
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Posted by EQF on December 23, 2022
People often don't go along with me on this. But I keep repeating it because the information is quite important.
When the latest is said and done regarding that recent CA quake and its aftershocks, it is important that everyone who is presently forecasting earthquakes join in a discussion regarding how close they got to predicting it.
Data do not need to include ALL of WHEN, WHERE, and WHAT MAGNITUDE. Any one of those things along the lines of accurate forecast information is valuable information.
Weather forecasts are not usually based on any one type of data. They are composites of many different types of data.
Earthquake forecasts should be the same as my own forecasting Web site says repeatedly.
Unfortunately, many earthquake forecasters around the world are largely interested in promoting their own forecasting methods. They often fight like cats and dogs with other forecasters. That can be quite destructive to this science.
My own data for the past week or so are still going through my computer programs. Additionally, a fairly strong EM signal was detected earlier today, Friday.
Hopefully, my computers will be finished with data processing in a few more hours. Some of my charts can take more than a half hour each to generate using a fairly powerful computer. It can work on only one chart at a time. A full batch involves 10 separate charts.
These are personal opinions.
Happy holidays to all. Hope that not too many were strongly affected by that CA quake.
EQF
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Responses:
[22708] [22710] [22705] [22706] [22711] [22713] [22716] [22717] [22714] [22715] [22724] [22725] [22729] [22719] |
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22708 |
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Date: December 23, 2022 at 19:49:40
From: EQF, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Not good news - Dec. 23, 2022 |
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Posted by EQF on December 23, 2022
To start,
My preliminary analyses of that recent deadly CA quake (2 reported fatalities) indicate that it was likely generating EM Signals for as much as a year or more.
On my 1 to 9 scale for EM Signal intensity, 9 is the highest intensity signal I can work with. Only 2 or 3 are detected in a given year. Level 5 signals are detected on an average of perhaps once or twice a week.
On August 8, 2022 a level 9 signal was detected. My computer programs indicate that it was a good match with the recent CA quake.
Second,
A fairly high intensity EM Signal detected earlier today was also a reasonably good match with those recent CA quakes.
There might be a detectable aftershock on the way.
I considered sending a formal warning note to CA government officials but probably won't unless additional strong EM Signals are detected.
If there is an aftershock approaching it won't be the "Big One" that people talk about endlessly. An approaching earthquake like that would probably send my EM Signals system into chaos.
No significant "Big Ones" likely for any time soon along the West Coast in my opinion.
The recent CA quake was bad enough.
These are personal opinions.
EQF
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Responses:
[22710] |
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22710 |
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Date: December 24, 2022 at 11:57:20
From: EQF, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Update - Better news - Dec. 24, 2022 |
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Posted by EQF on December 24, 2022
Some Good News
Probabilities now indicate to me that there likely won't be another earthquake. I was concerned that another one might be getting ready to occur based on yesterday's strong EM Signal. Additionally, no new signals have been detected today.
Additional analyses presently indicate to me that there is a high probability that the strong EM Signal detected yesterday, December 23, 2022 was associated with the following earthquake:
2022/12/22 11:49:55 40.36N 124.33W 29 3.8 "6km NW of Petrolia, CA"
This is something I have seen fairly often in the past.
A strong EM Signal will at times match an earthquake that has occurred some time in the past 48 hours.
However, this is the first time that I can recall that such a low magnitude earthquake (3.8) caused this to happen. The fact that it did is valuable information for my forecasting program.
My forecast Web site charts have still not been finished. Hopefully they will be done by tomorrow.
These are personal opinions and theories.
Happy holidays to all.
EQF
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Responses:
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22705 |
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Date: December 23, 2022 at 09:09:00
From: pamela, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Important note for all earthquake forecasters - Dec. 23, 2022 |
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I don't give predictions, just watches and appreciate
your attitude on this.
On groans, I posted some hrs prior hearing a US west
coast rt ear tone, naming Idaho, out to Off shore
WA/Oregon and so tired forgot to mention Off N Calif.
heres the post:
I post mountain time btw:
and Earthboppin posts Pacific time;
Date: December 20, 2022 at 01:02:01
From: pamela
Subject: rt ear high pitched white noise then turned
into tone for W of me
I'm in SW MT, and it lasted about 8 secs, or less
putting
it around Idaho,to the west coast of Oregon/WA areas
Of note:
I posted Nov 30 of the symps for the US/PNW
for similar.
Date: November 30, 2022 at 23:45:48
From: pamela
Subject: Rt ear at it again, inner itching and achy
US/Canada west coast, AK areas for quakes to volcanic
activity-started tonight with also swollen rt gland
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Responses:
[22706] [22711] [22713] [22716] [22717] [22714] [22715] [22724] [22725] [22729] [22719] |
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22706 |
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Date: December 23, 2022 at 19:27:30
From: EQF, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Important note for all earthquake forecasters - Dec. 23, 2022 |
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Posted by EQF on December 23, 2022
Hi Pamela,
Thanks for the info. I didn't know that anyone posting notes here was relying on Ear Tones.
My estimation is that perhaps 1 person in 1000 can hear them. They might be the most common form of Human Earthquake Sensitivity.
Other people in the scientific and medical communities just explain them away as some type of atmospheric disturbance rather than a true earthquake precursor. Those same people also claim that animals are not sensitive to approaching earthquakes. Some are. Some are not.
It is somewhat unfortunate that my earthquake forecasting computer program is not easy for people to use. It can convert Ear Tone detection times to actual locations.
They do not appear to be actual sounds but more likely represent some type of electromagnetic energy field interaction with the human nervous system that converts them into a fake sound. They can be heard in certain scientific laboratory settings where they are likely related to quartz crystal vibrations.
Some people hear fairly high frequency Ear Tones, perhaps around 7000 cycles per second. Others hear very low frequency Ear Tones down in the 1 to 30 cycle per second range. They say that they sound like fog horns.
Two people who can hear Ear Tones can be standing next to one another. One person will hear a tone while the other will not. At another time the reverse occurs.
They can apparently affect different people differently.
These are personal opinions.
Regards to all,
EQF
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Responses:
[22711] [22713] [22716] [22717] [22714] [22715] [22724] [22725] [22729] [22719] |
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22711 |
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Date: December 24, 2022 at 12:14:14
From: EQF, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Important note for all earthquake forecasters - Dec. 23, 2022 |
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Posted by EQF on December 24, 2022
Hi again Pamela,
I cannot recall hearing anyone state in the past that they could identify a location for an earthquake based on an Ear Tone.
People who are Earthquake Sensitive often identify possible locations for an expected earthquake by using other phenomena such as a strong sensation in an arm or a leg etc. The exact arm or leg location indicates to them the place where the earthquake might occur.
That information regarding Ear Tones could be valuable.
In any large city there are likely quite a few people who can hear Ear Tones. If they could be instructed on how to identify likely earthquake locations based on their Ear Tone signals then the Ear Tones might be regarded as valuable, inexpensive, global earthquake precursors.
These are personal opinions.
EQF
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Responses:
[22713] [22716] [22717] [22714] [22715] [22724] [22725] [22729] [22719] |
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22713 |
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Date: December 24, 2022 at 14:52:31
From: pamela, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Important note for all earthquake forecasters - Dec. 23, 2022 |
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Hi again. I get both tones and body symps. I mainly
feel the body symps way in advnce and then if I am
awake may hear the tones which puts the quake near to
come in within maybe 3 to 15 days, depending. I learned
all of this thru trial and error testing, posting them
here or on my website which I don't keep up with much,
since around late 2002 to the very present for the
tones as well as the body symps. One particular person
named Petra Challis who has passed on some several
years ago began doing this and making quite a name for
herself and some others whom can't recall their names.
Petra has a site still up she created with her friend ,
a man named, Don, in Hollister, aka Don in Creepytown.
I believ he was a geologist. I will have to look around
in my notes/files to see if I can find their site
again. I know I posted it on Groans here, but it
doesn't have a search function. She mentioned body
symps but mostly relied on her ear tones along with
some others. Don in Hollister has since passed on too.
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Responses:
[22716] [22717] [22714] [22715] [22724] [22725] [22729] [22719] |
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22716 |
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Date: December 24, 2022 at 15:20:14
From: pamela, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: correction, Don was not a geologist(NT) |
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Responses:
[22717] |
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22717 |
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Date: December 24, 2022 at 20:23:42
From: jordan, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: correction, Don was not a geologist(NT) |
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22714 |
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Date: December 24, 2022 at 15:04:55
From: pamela, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re Don and Petra's site |
URL: https://quakechasers.yolasite.com/sound-definitions.php |
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and their Home page intro
https://quakechasers.yolasite.com/
the link I posted at top tells of the types of ear tones,
etc.
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Responses:
[22715] [22724] [22725] [22729] [22719] |
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22715 |
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Date: December 24, 2022 at 15:14:04
From: pamela, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Re Don and Petra's site/ps to Mr Bopp |
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PS, to Mr Bopp, if you don't mind, would you please post
this site on your link page/side bar for future reference
for others still wanting to visit the site? Happy
Holidays!
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Responses:
[22724] [22725] [22729] [22719] |
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22724 |
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Date: December 27, 2022 at 10:12:33
From: mr bopp, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Re Don and Petra's site/ps to Mr Bopp |
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i added it a while ago on the nav for the earthwatcher's board...and maybe some others...takes a while to propagate...
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[22725] [22729] |
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22725 |
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Date: December 27, 2022 at 10:14:36
From: mr bopp, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Re Don and Petra's site/ps to Mr Bopp |
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the link is currently throwing an error...can't connect...
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Responses:
[22729] |
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22729 |
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Date: December 27, 2022 at 13:21:52
From: pamela, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Re Don and Petra's site/ps to Mr Bopp |
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working fine now, thanks again.
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22719 |
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Date: December 25, 2022 at 04:49:00
From: EQF, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Re Don and Petra's site/ps to Mr Bopp |
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Posted by EQF on December 25, 2022
Merry Christmas to all who celebrate this special day.
Hi again Pamela,
HUMAN EARTHQUAKE SENSITIVITY
If you are experiencing other Earthquake Sensitivity symptoms besides hearing Ear Tones then you would probably be in the "standard" group of Earthquake Sensitives.
There is more information on this in another note that I just posted today.
http://earthboppin.net/talkshop/rollem/messages/22718.html
Regards to all,
EQF
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