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22672 |
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Date: December 09, 2022 at 01:32:20
From: Shan, [DNS_Address]
Subject: My website become operational |
URL: Latest Forecast |
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Hi all,
Again my website comes into operational from today at
http://earthquake.itgo.com and forecast page at
http://earthquake.itgo.com/today.htm
Just for information.
Shan
South India
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Responses:
[22687] [22688] [22699] [22701] [22707] [22709] [22703] [22702] [22675] [22676] [22677] [22673] [22674] [22678] [22679] [22680] [22681] |
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22687 |
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Date: December 19, 2022 at 13:44:50
From: EQF, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Welcome Back Dec. 18, 2022 |
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Posted by EQF on December 19, 2022
Hi Shan,
The following are personal opinions.
Just visited the forum for the first time in weeks and saw your posting. I will try to post a longer note addressed to you if and when time allows.
This is not my forum. But Welcome Back anyway.
One reason that I believe you stopped posting was because someone else, namely Roger, was posting negative information regarding your forecasting method.
He often did the same with my posts. However, I have been working with him for years on important computer programs. So we always got along in spite of his negative posts.
Roger is still alive and well. But he is getting up in years and apparently no longer does any earthquake work. I suspect that he no longer visits this forum. So,I don't think you will have to worry any more about negative posts from him.
Something I have stated repeatedly to you and other earthquake forecasters over the years is that in order to be successful with your efforts you need to:
GET BETTER ORGANIZED !!!
1. That means providing clear proof at your Web site that your forecasting method actually works.
This is not especially difficult.
One critically important step involves showing that your forecasting method was able to point to the approach of especially powerful earthquakes that should have been within the geographic range of your method. I know that your forecasting method has detection range limitations as do other forecasting methods including my own.
2. That also means that you need to have a clear explanation at your Web site regarding exactly how your forecasting program works.
I know that you rely on tracing the path of the sun as it creates an image on one or more walls. That part is easy to understand.
But, the data on your Web site do not clearly explain how you do your calculations. No one can duplicate your forecasting method without that information.
Also as I have said repeatedly to you in the past,
You might have one of the most potentially valuable and widely used forecasting methods ever developed. But, there are relatively few people around the world who are interested in earthquake forecasting. If you make it impossible for them to evaluate your data and duplicate your forecasting method then those relatively few people interested in doing this work will simply ignore you.
If you would like some help or advice with either of the above 2 topics then you can just let me know. You can reach me by E-mail using the address at the bottom of each of my Web site pages.
My own forecasting Web site can be found if you visit almost any major search engine including Google and Yahoo and type in:
earthquake research index.html data.html
My Web site address should be near the top of the list. If it is not, then try a different search engine.
Happy holiday season, and Regards to all.
EQF
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Responses:
[22688] [22699] [22701] [22707] [22709] [22703] [22702] |
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22688 |
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Date: December 19, 2022 at 18:03:36
From: Shan, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Welcome Back Dec. 18, 2022 |
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Hi EQF,
Hope you are doing well. Not bother about
Roger or any one else in this board gave
negative opinions about my work. Because
of Covid i totally away from this field
since Sept.2020. Slowly i entered again
because of viewers request i made a
WhatsApp group and continued my research
from couple of months back. Infact I got
good motivation in this board by some
others who were really understand my path.
I am not in a position to reveal all the
details as suggested by you at this hour
since it will deviate my time and energy.
If any Government agencies come forward
with concrete interest after watching my
work then i will disclose them.
Hope your software development doing
wonderful prediction experience at this
hour.
Regards,
Shan
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[22699] [22701] [22707] [22709] [22703] [22702] |
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22699 |
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Date: December 21, 2022 at 10:09:23
From: EQF, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Update Dec. 21, 2022 |
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Posted by EQF on December 21, 2022
Hi again Shan,
Glad to hear you survived Covid-19. From your note it sounds like you had it. Many around the world did not survive the illness.
If you are willing to provide governments with information regarding how your forecasting program works then that is good news. I might be able to get some of them interested.
At this time, an even better approach to doing that would be for you to send me an E-mail with the details.
I have several degrees in the physical sciences and am also good at keeping secrets. But, I am not working for any government agency. So, disclosing that information would be up to you. I formally copyrighted my own earthquake forecasting computer software here in the U.S. many years ago. It is available for free to people through my Web site.
My own forecasting method represents Earthquake Precursor Information for the most part rather than actual predictions. I believe that is the same with your data.
People and their governments can use my precursor data to then forecast their own earthquakes. There are some special Web page files on my Web site that an elementary school student could use to make use of my precursor data. I rely on them myself when I am checking to see if an earthquake might be approaching for some area. They don't occur where I myself live.
My latest data update will probably be done later today. The charts are ready. I just takes a while to upload them to my Web site as my Internet Server has been acting strange for the past few months.
Interestingly, a fairly recent and powerful earthquake in the Solomon Islands area looks like it showed up quite well in my data for several months before it finally occurred.
2022/11/22 02:03:06 9.81S 159.59E 14 7.0 "18 km SW of Malango, Solomon Islands"
NEIS Data
Several things that might be of interest to you are the following:
1. My own data and data from other people clearly indicate, I believe, that actual fairly high magnitude earthquake occurrence times are frequently linked with the locations of the sun and the moon in the sky, hence their gravity forces, likely through the Tide Generating Force. It is related to the third power of the distance between two large objects. Gravity itself is related to the distance to the second power.
Of course, there won't be an earthquake unless a fault zone somewhere is getting ready to fracture anyway.
2. I had been saying for decades that earthquakes and solar storms appear to have some link. However, there are different types of solar storms. The mystery involved exactly which type of storm was important.
Several groups of scientists in Italy look like they solved the problem. Proton density in space near the Earth appears to be the type of solar storm involved.
When there is a strong solar proton storm it can apparently encourage an earthquake to occur if one is getting ready to occur anyway. I am guessing that the effects are strongly related to where on Earth the earthquake is scheduled to occur.
No one seems to know yet what that triggering mechanism is. People have various theories. I have a few myself.
3. Finally, there is a group in the Europe - Asia area that generates forecasting data somewhat similar to yours. They have sensors in abandoned mines that monitor ground tilt. They also monitor gravity changes. Some of their data should agree with yours. Their data agree quite well with my own collected here in the U.S.
https://www.dynamicgravity.org/mereni2/
These are personal opinions.
Regards to all and a happy holiday season to all.
EQF
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Date: December 22, 2022 at 16:16:24
From: Roger, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Update Dec. 21, 2022 |
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Hi all;
Just a note to let you know I'm still around, I just
haven't been active as much.
Roger
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Date: December 23, 2022 at 19:42:51
From: Skywise, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Roger |
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It is very good to hear you're still around. I miss our discussions.
Just a little note, I am still actively working on my 3D earthquake
program. Been teaching myself some new advanced programming techniques
so I can have a solid program framework on which to build. Yeah, that
meant starting over from scratch but it's been worth it. Just takes
time.
I wish you and your family the merriest of holidays.
Brian
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[22709] |
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22709 |
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Date: December 24, 2022 at 03:55:09
From: Roger Hunter, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Roger |
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Thanks Brian and the same to you and yours.
Roger
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22703 |
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Date: December 23, 2022 at 07:26:35
From: EQF, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Update Dec. 21, 2022 |
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Posted by EQF on December 23, 2022
Hi Roger,
Welcome back from the afterlife. Back to your programming work (humor intended).
EQF
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22702 |
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Date: December 22, 2022 at 17:37:29
From: ryan, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Update Dec. 21, 2022 |
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22675 |
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Date: December 09, 2022 at 13:27:17
From: rya, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: My website become operational |
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congrats on the new website Shan!
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Responses:
[22676] [22677] |
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22676 |
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Date: December 09, 2022 at 18:23:49
From: Shan, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: My website become operational |
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Thank you rya but it was my old site
created by own during the year 2000..!
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[22677] |
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22677 |
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Date: December 09, 2022 at 19:42:56
From: ryan, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: My website become operational |
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oh well, congrats anyway...lol...
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22673 |
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Date: December 09, 2022 at 03:54:40
From: Edie, Yogyakarta, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: My website become operational |
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Glad to hear that, how are you doing ?
I visited your site, then Jawa Indonesia
wrote there.and the location is my area :
110°xx E
Regard
Edie
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Date: December 09, 2022 at 06:16:16
From: Shan, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: My website become operational |
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Glad to meet you Edie again. Infact i am
looking for you to convey my condolences
over the recent events there. I am fine.
Actually my observatory was diminished to
receive sun shine due to branches of fresh
trees grown. Anyway i am doing my research
to the possible extent upto Southern
Sumatra. Let we discuss then and there.
Convey my regards to Mr.Andi Arief.
Regards,
Shan
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Date: December 10, 2022 at 02:43:38
From: Edie, Yogyakarta, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: My website become operational |
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Thank you shan
Let we discuss by email. Did still have my
mail address ?
Btw Mr. Andi Arief has no longer in good
position to this. But its ok with out him
Regards
Edie
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Date: December 10, 2022 at 05:22:47
From: Shan, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: My website become operational |
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Good idea Edie. Have your old mail id and
mine is also the same. Just noticed that
South of Jawa jolted with 4.6M aginst my
prediction over Jawa as you mentioned.
Let us wait for further events, if any
since my time frame is running.
No problem about Mr.Andi Arief. We will do
our best.
Shan
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[22680] [22681] |
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22680 |
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Date: December 10, 2022 at 08:05:02
From: Edie, Yogyakarta, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: My website become operational |
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Ok shan
I'am waiting your email
Regards
Edie
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[22681] |
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22681 |
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Date: December 11, 2022 at 06:10:06
From: Shan, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: My website become operational |
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Hi Edie,
This morning i have sent an email. Did you
get it..?
Regards,
Shan
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Responses:
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