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22178 |
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Date: October 17, 2021 at 00:56:58
From: Richter, [DNS_Address]
Subject: 18 Predictions, Oct.: California, Pakistan, Luyalty, Taiwan,... |
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Predictions:
1. W. Turkey, 38/27, Oct.19, 21:40, M4.0-M5.0
2. ES. Sandwich, 58/-16, Oct.19, 16:25, M4.0-M5.8
3. NZ, Kermadec Isl., -28/-177, Oct.21, 10:12, M4.0-
M5.3
4. Vanuatu, -19/169, Oct.21, 14:42, M5.2-M5.8+
5. Rat Isl., 52/179, Oct.21, M4.0-M5.6+
6. Tonga, -16/-174, Oct.25, 16:42, M4.6-M4.9
7. Kuril Isl., 46;151, Oct.25, 19:00, M4.0-M4.8
8. Guam, 11/140, Oct.25, 19:45, M4.0-M4.9
9. C. California, 38/-119, Oct.25, 23:41,M4.0-M5.2+
10.S. Greece, 37/21. Oct.25, 3:42, M3.8-M5.6+
11.S.Iran, 28/55, Oct.26, 2:18, M4.0-M4.9+
12.Taiwan, 27/125, Oct.26, 21:42,M4.0-M5.4+
13.S. California, 34/-117, Oct.27, 13:42, M4.0-M5.6+
14.Pakistan, 28/66, Oct.28, 14:50, M4.0-M5.6+
15.Loyalty Isl.,-22/171,Oct.29,3:22, M4.6-M5.8+ and
16.Loyalty Isl.,-22/171,Oct.29,21:10,M4.0-M5.2+
this is resolution of method
17.Mariana Isl.,15/148,Oct.30,23:36,M4.0-M4.7
18.N.Isl. of NZ, -35/-179,Oct.31,1:42,M4.0-M5.6+
================================================
Errors: normal R=500 km.
If M6.0 then R=900 km.+
Normal time: +-24h
If M6.0+ then +-72h
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Responses:
[22203] [22201] [22199] [22198] [22200] [22196] [22197] [22186] [22187] [22182] [22183] [22184] [22189] [22179] [22185] [22180] [22181] |
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22203 |
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Date: October 30, 2021 at 00:41:13
From: Richter, [DNS_Address]
Subject: 2 Results: Loyalty and Mariana Isl. |
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Results:
SE of Loyalty Isl., 18:57 UTC, -23 / 172, M4.7
Time: error 2h 13m-predicted
Date: predicted
M4.7>M4.5+-predicted
Location: error 111 km.-predicted
But Not resolution, not 2 quakes-the resolution not
predicted
===========
This is Hit
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Responses:
None |
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22201 |
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Date: October 27, 2021 at 03:16:00
From: Richter, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Results: S. Greece and Iran-failure, but Taiwan, M6.4... |
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S. Greece and Iran-failure
I don't know if I should add the earthquake to Taiwan
on October 24 with M6.4. It should be in the interval
of + -72 hours.
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Responses:
None |
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22199 |
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Date: October 26, 2021 at 02:23:26
From: Richter, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Result: Tonga, Kuril Isl. Guam, M)M4.5==) 2 hits |
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Results:
Tonga===>> S. Fiji, Oct. 25, M4.7, 16:05, -24 / 179
Kuril Isl.==> Kuril Isl., M4.8, Oct.25, 50 / 156
Guam, ==> Maug. Mariana Isl., M6.1, Oct.25, 15:32, 19 /
145
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Responses:
None |
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22198 |
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Date: October 26, 2021 at 01:25:51
From: Richter, [DNS_Address]
Subject: C. California, error 0h 01m, M4.7, super HIT, woooow |
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Result:
M4.7
Offshore C. California, 35.73 / -121.35
23:42 UTC
=============
M4.7>>>M4.5+-predicted
Location: C. California-predicted
Date: predicted
Time: error 0h 01-super predicted
Total: this is super HIT-woooow
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Responses:
[22200] |
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22200 |
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Date: October 26, 2021 at 06:21:14
From: Richter, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Roger,Skywise for You; 1 minute error-super HIT |
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I deliberately wrote a minute difference to have a job
for Roger. But a person can be evacuated and, after
smoking a cigarette, return home if he is healthy.
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Responses:
None |
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22196 |
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Date: October 23, 2021 at 03:00:33
From: Richter, [DNS_Address]
Subject: 4. Vanuatu and Rat Isl.-Failure |
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Responses:
[22197] |
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22197 |
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Date: October 23, 2021 at 11:32:46
From: rh5919899, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: 4. Vanuatu and Rat Isl.-Failure |
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Richter;
Here's a clue;
Bad methods give bad answers.
Roger
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Responses:
None |
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22186 |
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Date: October 21, 2021 at 07:26:51
From: Richter, [DNS_Address]
Subject: 3th Result, M6.0: near Kermadec, NZ,Oct.21, HIT |
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Result:
Magnitude Mw 6.0
Region SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS
Date time 2021-10-21 08:10:44.2 UTC
Location 25.32 S ; 179.66 E
Depth 497 km
==============
Location: Lat:-28 and -25, Long: -177 and 179-predicted
Magn.L M6.0>>>>M4.5+-predicted
Date: predicted
Time: error 2:02, wooow
All predicted===>> this is HIT again
=====================================
Let's introduce a rule: if the magnitude is 6.0 or
greater, no one has the right to speak.
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Responses:
[22187] |
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22187 |
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Date: October 21, 2021 at 07:42:39
From: rh5919899, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: 3th Result, M6.0: near Kermadec, NZ,Oct.21, HIT |
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Richter;
If you predict a 4.5+ and a 6.0 happens, that's not skill, that's just dumb luck.
Moreover it's a bad idea because people will not be prepared for a 6.0 and will suffer greater loss of life and property as a result.
Roger
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Responses:
None |
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22182 |
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Date: October 19, 2021 at 22:29:36
From: Richter, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Change of all 18 predicted magnitude: |
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Change of all 18 predicted magnitude:
Magnitude: M4.5++
I told.
===========
1st magnitude of E. Mediterranean Sea
is Not M5.9.
Real M6.0
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Responses:
[22183] [22184] [22189] |
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22183 |
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Date: October 20, 2021 at 07:01:23
From: rh5919899, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Change of all 18 predicted magnitude: |
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Richter;
So what? Your prediction was 4.5++ so almost anything would fit.
That's useless as a prediction. People would expect a small one, take no precautions and die as a result.
Roger
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Responses:
[22184] [22189] |
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22184 |
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Date: October 20, 2021 at 07:39:22
From: Skywise, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Change of all 18 predicted magnitude: |
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Agreed. 4.5+ always is not the best choice.
To be honest, I think this just shows a gross misunderstanding
of how earthquakes work. A misunderstanding of statistics.
Predicting a 4.5+ in an area that gets them all the time,
or in an area experiencing aftershocks, is pointless. Sure,
you might get the hit, but it's meaningless. It's like
predicting the Sun will rise tomorrow. The odds are
already high that it's going to happen so predicting it
has little value.
Predicting a 7.0+ in areas that don't get those magnitudes
very often, now that would have value, and meaning. The
odds are very low so the payoff is bigger.
If he's going to go with M4.5+, then that matches the
predictions of my Earthquake Dartboard program years
ago.
For Richter's benefit, I successfully predicted 92% of the
world's earthquakes that were magnitude 4.5 or greater
during a period of about two years.
To put it another way, I successfully predicted 17,450 earthquakes.
17,450!!!
NO ONE has even come close to that number.
(wink wink)
Brian
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Responses:
[22189] |
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22189 |
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Date: October 21, 2021 at 23:26:19
From: Richter, [DNS_Address]
Subject: At M4.8 several peoples died on the isl. of Bali... |
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Recently, several people died on the island of Bali at
magnitude M4.8.Therefore, the minimum limit in my
predictions is M4.5.
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Responses:
None |
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22179 |
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Date: October 18, 2021 at 23:22:34
From: Richter, [DNS_Address]
Subject: 1st Result: M5.9-)W. Turkey |
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Prediction:
1. W. Turkey, 38/27, Oct.19,21:40,M4.0-M5.0
Result:
Mw 5.9
Eastern Mediterranean Sea
Oct.19,2021 5:32
34 / 28
=====================
Location: error 400 km.-Predicted
Date: Predicted
Magn.: M5.0Time: errror 16h 08m-predicted
Total: This is HIT
==================
but wait...
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Responses:
[22185] [22180] [22181] |
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22185 |
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Date: October 21, 2021 at 00:22:30
From: Richter, [DNS_Address]
Subject: 2nd Result: S. Sandwich-predicted |
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Result:
mb 4.7
Region SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION
Date time 2021-10-19 01:42:28.9 UTC
Location 57.95 S ; 25.52 W
==================================
Location: predicted
Date: predicted
Magn.: M4.7>>>M4.5-predicted
Time: error 14h 43m<<<<24h-predicted
Conclusion: The earthquakes CAN be predicted
I told.
But if sometime happened M6.0+ then all Peoples must
not talking...
===========
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Responses:
None |
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22180 |
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Date: October 19, 2021 at 15:07:53
From: Skywise, [DNS_Address]
Subject: technically..... no |
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Location and time are hits. But you missed on magnitude.
You predicted M4.0 to M5.0 an the quake was larger at M5.9
which is outside your predicted range.
You got a quake bigger than you predicted. So you missed.
Be careful how you state your predictions.
Brian
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Responses:
[22181] |
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22181 |
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Date: October 19, 2021 at 22:04:36
From: Richter, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Soooooorry... |
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Responses:
None |
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