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21395 |
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Date: May 11, 2020 at 20:02:00
From: Bev1, [DNS_Address]
Subject: RE: Jack Coles 4/29/20 Msg Cluster Main Signals 5/11/20 |
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5/11/20 --4 signals for this area now considered
cluster main signals.
Dates extended to 5/23/20
Magnitude possible: 7+
************************************************
UPDATE #1: Area: Pacific Northwest off coast of
Washington/Oregon
--Idaho / Utah
Far Eastern Rockies
Magnitude: 5.0
Percentage: 5.7
Most Likely dates: May 1, 2, 6, 7, 14, 16, 17,
2020e:
Jack Coles-4/29/20-Message - Idaho - Utah
***************************************************
UPDATE #2 5-3-2020 After additional signals:
Magnitude: 5.5 to 6.4
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Responses:
[21404] [21410] [21428] [21429] [21432] [21434] [21433] [21435] |
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21404 |
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Date: May 16, 2020 at 12:46:49
From: Bev1, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re:Jack Coles 4/29/20 Msg Cluster Main Signals 5/11/20 |
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5/16/20 Update - Message on phone from Jack on
5/15/20:
**adding Nevada to area of forecast. (Utah & Idaho)
notified of the following EQ's:
5/15/20 Mag 6.4 6:17am 19.7mi SE of Mina, NV
5/15/20 Mag 6.5 8:04am 20.04mi SE of Mina, NV
5/15/20 Mag 6.2 7:33am 20.0mi SE of Mina, NV UPDATE
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Responses:
[21410] [21428] [21429] [21432] [21434] [21433] [21435] |
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21410 |
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Date: May 17, 2020 at 00:31:29
From: EQF, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Re:Jack Coles 4/29/20 Msg Cluster Main Signals 5/11/20 |
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Posted by EQF May 17, 2020
Is there a Web site where people can find information regarding that forecasting method?
Is that method associated with signals linked with AM Radio frequencies?
On one of my Web pages there is a discussion of studies that an earthquake researcher in India has done regarding some of the effects that approaching earthquakes can have on certain types of radio signals.
It is my understanding that the ones he studied are associated with the inductance components of LRC radio circuits.
Regards,
EQF
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Responses:
[21428] [21429] [21432] [21434] [21433] [21435] |
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21428 |
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Date: May 22, 2020 at 18:37:38
From: Bev1, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Re:Jack Coles 4/29/20 Msg Cluster Main Signals 5/11/20 |
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EQF: Jack has written a paper "The Coles Method"
which I will locate and repost for you.
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Responses:
[21429] [21432] [21434] [21433] [21435] |
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21429 |
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Date: May 22, 2020 at 19:06:31
From: Bev1, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Re:Jack Coles 4/29/20 Msg ---The Coles Method |
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Date: September 26, 2016 at 12:01:25
From: Bev1
Subject: The Coles Method
THE COLES METHOD - (For forecasting earthquakes)
The COLES METHOD relies upon the recording and
evaluation of both the simple and complex friction
of rock, as well as the stress released within rock
crystallized at fault lines during seismic events.
Flint and quartz are two types of rock that emit
electrical charges. Flint gives off a pyroelectric
discharge (“pyro” meaning ‘”fire,” and “electric”
simply meaning “a charge of energy in the form of
plasma”). Quartz, which makes up a large percentage
of the rock located at earthquake fault lines, gives
off a piezoelectric discharge (“piezo” meaning
“squeezing or pressing”).
Piezoelectric discharge is the natural phenomena
upon which the technology for telephones, radios,
transmitters, hearing aides, public address systems,
television, recorders, and computers is
established. These are all produced using raw
materials which include quartz, gold, silver, mica,
and other metals to complete their circuits. One
can demonstrate a piezoelectric discharge by rubbing
two crystals together in the dark. One would be
able to detect the odor of ozone or of an arc
welder, as well as seeing light emitting particles.
Because the quartz located along fault lines
produces piezoelectric discharges under stress or
pressure, seismic events in progress emit radio
signals. These radio signals, in combination with
other factors, enable those using the COLES METHOD
to accurately forecast seismic events with a high
probability.
There are only two types of earthquake radio
signals produced by piezoelectric discharge used to
forecast future seismic events using the COLES
METHOD. These signals are categorized “Initial
Signals” and “Main Signals.”
1. “Initial Signals” are radio signals generated
from the Earth’s normal 2 to 12 hertz of vibration,
or from the sudden lack of sound generated by the
normal rotation of the Earth. These Initial
Signals, which indicate a future impending seismic
event, progressively build up in frequency. A long
period of Initial Signals followed by any sudden
change is generally an indication that an earthquake
is about to happen. By using these signals
alone, imminent earthquakes have been forecast 5-15%
within the time frame, depending on the area.
Initial Signals can last for 90 days.
2. “Main Signals” Quartz being crushed along a
fault line produces a “Main Signal.”. Flaring radio
waves are generated, which act as a beacon and
indicate the location of the seismic event. These
Main Signals sometimes travel around the globe and
are the signals which give us the most likely
possible dates, times, locations, and magnitudes of
upcoming earthquakes. Initial Signals may precede
a Main Signal and can be picked up on a spectrum
analyzer. When both types of signals and multiple
Main Signals occur with significance, it increases
the prediction of an future earthquake to a higher
degree of probability (Multiple Main Signals in the
same time frame can indicate more than one
epicenter.)
The noise generated by MAIN SIGNALS is similar to
the sound of a pencil bent under pressure, but with
no visible signs of cracking. Most completely solid
objects under stress will create a split second of
noise of some type before apparent cracking or
breaking occurs. (Main Signals are only one-half to
three seconds in duration on average.)
3. “The How To” - It is possible to hear Initial
and Main Signals by tuning an AM radio. To do this,
adjust your AM radio down to 530 kHz, and then
slowly go up the dial until you have reached a quiet
spot between radio stations where there is little or
no buzz. Next, turn the volume down until you can
barely hear it.
At this point, you can hear lightning crackling
during a storm, lights turning off and on, and
sounds from various types of electrical tools.
Subtract these extraneous noises from the Earth’s
upward cascading harmonic emissions emanating from
the normal 2-12 hertz range. The anomalous radio
signals from the Earth will be loud enough that you
can hear them at the time they happen, even though
the volume is low. Write down the exact time and
date and you will be recording Initial and Main
signals.
Main Signals occur at mathematically squared
intervals of one day (four to twenty-four hours),
four days (fifty-six to ninety-six hours, 2x2), nine
days (3x3), and sixteen days (4x4). At 12, 22, 32,
42, 52, 62, etc., the most likely dates for a
seismic event have occurred on the 1st, 4th, 9th,
16th & 17th days. Only three quakes have gone to a
25-day interval, with three more having taken 28-30
days (see eruption cycle at Mt. St. Helens). This
phenomenon may be attributed to the lunar cycle. If
these Main Signals happen in the late afternoon or
evening, then quakes would most likely occur the
morning of one of these days from this cycle.
When one detects a Main Signal, an earthquake is
in progress. There will be a sixteen-day window,
with three most likely dates for a seismic event. if
the quake does not happen in the first 24 hours. If
a signal happens late at night, the following matrix
would apply: the 4th/5th, or the 9th/10th, or the
16th/17th with the last date being the 18th.
A good example of this would be that if a Main
Signal happens on the first, and goes through the
17th of that month, the most likely dates for an
earthquake would then be the first, fourth, ninth,
and sixteenth (1x1, 2x2, 3x3, 4x4) and the following
day. The time would be based on +/- 9 to 15 hours
toward sunrise/sunset, and could be on either side
of the dates mentioned. Twenty percent of the time,
earthquakes will hit outside of these parameters.
An example of a final Main Signal for the
Northridge Earthquake occurred at 2:57 PM on Friday,
January 14, 1994. Counting the day that it happened
as Day One, Day Four then fell on Monday morning,
January 17th, the midway portion of these signals
toward sunrise would place the time at 4:27 AM. The
Northridge Quake in 1994 hit at 4:31 AM, only four
minutes off exact dead center. Numerous Initial
Signals happened before this event as well.
4. “Cluster Main Signals” are more than the
usual one signal to three sets of signals that take
place before a seismic event. It takes only one
Main Signal with its diminishing echoes to predict a
very large to a great quake. However, three times
in the past 30 years, small rapid-fire signals or
numerous full strength main signals have occurred
before large earthquakes.
The three examples of CLUSTER MAIN SIGNALS are:
Kobe, Japan, in 1995; the pre-Olympic quake in
China, in 2008; and currently occurring signals from
the Southwest Pacific Ring of Fire north to Western
Japan. Starting January 27, 2009, a 72-day run
yielded a 7.0 magnitude earthquake sixteen days
after it started. Then a signal for an eight set
off a 7.9 magnitude off-shore Tonga quake during the
new moon. There was a seven-day break in the
signals after the first 72 days. They then started
up again the day before a 7.0 magnitude quake hit
the region. As of this date, May 30, 2009, these
main signals have continued with no end in sight.
Cluster Main Signals have occurred months before a
large earthquake. With Cluster Main Signals, the
adage fits: “The longer the wait, the greater the
quake”.
For references, see AP WIRE SERVICE, January
17th-19th, 1994. Hard COPY; American Journal
(Inside Edition, January 19, 1994) and the L.A.
Weekly News, “The Myth of Solid Ground”, April 9th-
16th, 1999, top of page 34. Thurston Clark’s
“California Fault”, see pages 245-258 and 397-398;
Cal Orey’s “The Man Who Predicts Earthquakes; 2006,
pages 86 & 87. Syzygyjob.com,, Earthquake
Prediction Online. Also, publications for
television, and radio shows, and numerous U.S. and
Worldwide newspaper articles.
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Responses:
[21432] [21434] [21433] [21435] |
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21432 |
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Date: May 25, 2020 at 23:45:36
From: EQF, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Re:Jack Coles 4/29/20 Msg ---The Coles Method |
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Posted by EQF May 26, 2020
Thanks for the information.
With time I might add some additional comments. For the moment, here are a few:
Something that I have proposed to other earthquake forecasters over the years is the following:
There don’t appear to me to be too many governments or NGOs that are interested in spending a lot of time, energy, and money on efforts to learn how earthquakes might be predicted.
One consequence of that is that if you are attempting to predict earthquakes, you are most likely largely on your own with regard to “getting the word out” that your forecasting program exists and that it works.
As I have attempted to help other earthquake forecasters with their efforts over the years I can propose the following to Mr. Cole if he is still alive, or if not, then to the person or persons who are generating those data.
At my forecasting Web site I have a subdirectory where information can be found regarding other people’s forecasting methods. If Mr. Cole would like, I will create a Web page for his method. It will contain the information from your post and also state that he has given permission for that information to be stored there. An E-mail address to contact him can be added.
Once the Web page is created, additional information could be easily added such as data that demonstrate that the forecasting method works.
There would not be any charge for that. For practical purposes, my Web site has almost unlimited storage space and download capabilities.
An Additional Comment
He appears to be proposing that some type of “square” relationship might exist in his data such as 1, 4, 9, 16 …
Having several degrees in science and having taken many physics courses I would say that I am not aware of any common relationships in the purely physical world that involve relationships like that. There might be some in the biology world that involve the multiplication of bacteria etc.
If he is seeing that type of relationship in his data then I would propose that it might simply be coincidental.
I can add that I believe that my own data clearly show that earthquake occurrence times are often linked with the locations of the sun and the moon in the sky. Studies along those lines that have been unsuccessful in the past likely failed, in my opinion, because the researchers were not using the right calculations.
My own calculations work great! They have been formally copyrighted here in the U.S. And I am hoping to eventually publish some papers on them.
Regards,
EQF
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Responses:
[21434] [21433] [21435] |
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21434 |
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Date: May 26, 2020 at 18:22:13
From: ryan, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Re:Jack Coles 4/29/20 Msg ---The Coles Method |
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it is really criminal that jack is still in prison...what a perversion of "justice"...here's his method...
THE COLES METHOD - (For forecasting earthquakes)
The COLES METHOD relies upon the recording and evaluation of both the simple and complex friction of rock, as well as the stress released within rock crystallized at fault lines during seismic events.
Flint and quartz are two types of rock that emit electrical charges. Flint gives off a pyroelectric discharge (“pyro” meaning ‘”fire,” and “electric” simply meaning “a charge of energy in the form of plasma”). Quartz, which makes up a large percentage of the rock located at earthquake fault lines, gives off a piezoelectric discharge (“piezo” meaning “squeezing or pressing”).
Piezoelectric discharge is the natural phenomena upon which the technology for telephones, radios, transmitters, hearing aides, public address systems, television, recorders, and computers is established. These are all produced using raw materials which include quartz, gold, silver, mica, and other metals to complete their circuits. One can demonstrate a piezoelectric discharge by rubbing two crystals together in the dark. One would be able to detect the odor of ozone or of an arc welder, as well as seeing light emitting particles.
Because the quartz located along fault lines produces piezoelectric discharges under stress or pressure, seismic events in progress emit radio signals. These radio signals, in combination with other factors, enable those using the COLES METHOD to accurately forecast seismic events with a high probability.
There are only two types of earthquake radio signals produced by piezoelectric discharge used to forecast future seismic events using the COLES METHOD. These signals are categorized “Initial Signals” and “Main Signals.”
1. “Initial Signals” are radio signals generated from the Earth’s normal 2 to 12 hertz of vibration, or from the sudden lack of sound generated by the normal rotation of the Earth. These Initial Signals, which indicate a future impending seismic event, progressively build up in frequency. A long period of Initial Signals followed by any sudden change is generally an indication that an earthquake is about to happen. By using these signals alone, imminent earthquakes have been forecast 5-15% within the time frame, depending on the area. Initial Signals can last for 90 days.
2. “Main Signals” Quartz being crushed along a fault line produces a “Main Signal.”. Flaring radio waves are generated, which act as a beacon and indicate the location of the seismic event. These Main Signals sometimes travel around the globe and are the signals which give us the most likely possible dates, times, locations, and magnitudes of upcoming earthquakes. Initial Signals may precede a Main Signal and can be picked up on a spectrum analyzer. When both types of signals and multiple Main Signals occur with significance, it increases the prediction of an future earthquake to a higher degree of probability (Multiple Main Signals in the same time frame can indicate more than one epicenter.)
The noise generated by MAIN SIGNALS is similar to the sound of a pencil bent under pressure, but with no visible signs of cracking. Most completely solid objects under stress will create a split second of noise of some type before apparent cracking or breaking occurs. (Main Signals are only one-half to three seconds in duration on average.)
3. “The How To” - It is possible to hear Initial and Main Signals by tuning an AM radio. To do this, adjust your AM radio down to 530 kHz, and then slowly go up the dial until you have reached a quiet spot between radio stations where there is little or no buzz. Next, turn the volume down until you can barely hear it.
At this point, you can hear lightning crackling during a storm, lights turning off and on, and sounds from various types of electrical tools. Subtract these extraneous noises from the Earth’s upward cascading harmonic emissions emanating from the normal 2-12 hertz range. The anomalous radio signals from the Earth will be loud enough that you can hear them at the time they happen, even though the volume is low. Write down the exact time and date and you will be recording Initial and Main signals.
Main Signals occur at mathematically squared intervals of one day (four to twenty-four hours), four days (fifty-six to ninety-six hours, 2x2), nine days (3x3), and sixteen days (4x4). At 12, 22, 32, 42, 52, 62, etc., the most likely dates for a seismic event have occurred on the 1st, 4th, 9th, 16th & 17th days. Only three quakes have gone to a 25-day interval, with three more having taken 28-30 days (see eruption cycle at Mt. St. Helens). This phenomenon may be attributed to the lunar cycle. If these Main Signals happen in the late afternoon or evening, then quakes would most likely occur the morning of one of these days from this cycle.
When one detects a Main Signal, an earthquake is in progress. There will be a sixteen-day window, with three most likely dates for a seismic event. if the quake does not happen in the first 24 hours. If a signal happens late at night, the following matrix would apply: the 4th/5th, or the 9th/10th, or the 16th/17th with the last date being the 18th.
A good example of this would be that if a Main Signal happens on the first, and goes through the 17th of that month, the most likely dates for an earthquake would then be the first, fourth, ninth, and sixteenth (1x1, 2x2, 3x3, 4x4) and the following day. The time would be based on +/- 9 to 15 hours toward sunrise/sunset, and could be on either side of the dates mentioned. Twenty percent of the time, earthquakes will hit outside of these parameters.
An example of a final Main Signal for the Northridge Earthquake occurred at 2:57 PM on Friday, January 14, 1994. Counting the day that it happened as Day One, Day Four then fell on Monday morning, January 17th, the midway portion of these signals toward sunrise would place the time at 4:27 AM. The Northridge Quake in 1994 hit at 4:31 AM, only four minutes off exact dead center. Numerous Initial Signals happened before this event as well.
4. “Cluster Main Signals” are more than the usual one signal to three sets of signals that take place before a seismic event. It takes only one Main Signal with its diminishing echoes to predict a very large to a great quake. However, three times in the past 30 years, small rapid-fire signals or numerous full strength main signals have occurred before large earthquakes.
The three examples of CLUSTER MAIN SIGNALS are: Kobe, Japan, in 1995; the pre-Olympic quake in China, in 2008; and currently occurring signals from the Southwest Pacific Ring of Fire north to Western Japan. Starting January 27, 2009, a 72-day run yielded a 7.0 magnitude earthquake sixteen days after it started. Then a signal for an eight set off a 7.9 magnitude off-shore Tonga quake during the new moon. There was a seven-day break in the signals after the first 72 days. They then started up again the day before a 7.0 magnitude quake hit the region. As of this date, May 30, 2009, these main signals have continued with no end in sight. Cluster Main Signals have occurred months before a large earthquake. With Cluster Main Signals, the adage fits: “The longer the wait, the greater the quake”.
For references, see AP WIRE SERVICE, January 17th-19th, 1994. Hard COPY; American Journal (Inside Edition, January 19, 1994) and the L.A. Weekly News, “The Myth of Solid Ground”, April 9th-16th, 1999, top of page 34. Thurston Clark’s “California Fault”, see pages 245-258 and 397-398; Cal Orey’s “The Man Who Predicts Earthquakes; 2006, pages 86 & 87. Syzygyjob.com,, Earthquake Prediction Online. Also, publications for television, and radio shows, and numerous U.S. and Worldwide newspaper articles.
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21433 |
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Date: May 26, 2020 at 16:36:12
From: Alan, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Re:Jack Coles 4/29/20 Msg ---The Coles Method |
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"As I have attempted to help other earthquake forecasters with their efforts
over the years I can propose the following to Mr. Cole if he is still alive, or if
not, then to the person or persons who are generating those data.
"
Cole - he's incarcerated in prison and listening to noise on a transistor radio
in his cell... then phoning when he can to Bev his predictions. Possibly Bev
might be able to arrange a visit as direct email is almost certainly not
permissible in the circumstances.
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Responses:
[21435] |
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21435 |
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Date: May 26, 2020 at 18:23:20
From: ryan, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Re:Jack Coles 4/29/20 Msg ---The Coles Method |
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and he is doing a hell of a fine job considering the conditions he is working in and with...
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Responses:
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