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21251


Date: March 18, 2020 at 10:19:08
From: Roger Hunter, [DNS_Address]
Subject: predictios checked


Shan;

I wrote a program to compare your predictions to the
NEIC catalog.

Results are as follows;

For predictions from 2019 Oct 31 to 2020 Jan 16 you
had 169 hits vs 177 misses.

Flipping a coin would do just as well.

Roger


Responses:
[21259] [21252] [21253]


21259


Date: March 18, 2020 at 17:02:02
From: Shan, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: predictios checked


Roger,

Oh.is it? But I never count my success
but learning lessons from the failures. I
knew the value of my prediction and it
spreads like Covid-19 but for the
betterment of people in near future.

Shan


Responses:
None


21252


Date: March 18, 2020 at 13:57:50
From: Skywise, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: predictios checked


I'm quite a ways away from doing my own analysis of his
predictions. I'm still working on tidying up the database
downloader and analysis program.

But, I have the next two weeks of free time to work on
it. My company was ordered by the county to close due to
the corona virus threat. I'll be fine. Just bored.

May everyone stay well and this thing blows over quickly.

Brian


Responses:
[21253]


21253


Date: March 18, 2020 at 14:05:45
From: Roger Hunter, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: predictions checked


Brian;

This is not an evaluation, just a check for matching
quakes.

I found I had to delete a quake as soon as it matched
a prediction or else it would match a dozen others
too.

Roger


Responses:
None


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