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21251 |
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Date: March 18, 2020 at 10:19:08
From: Roger Hunter, [DNS_Address]
Subject: predictios checked |
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Shan;
I wrote a program to compare your predictions to the NEIC catalog.
Results are as follows;
For predictions from 2019 Oct 31 to 2020 Jan 16 you had 169 hits vs 177 misses.
Flipping a coin would do just as well.
Roger
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Responses:
[21259] [21252] [21253] |
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21259 |
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Date: March 18, 2020 at 17:02:02
From: Shan, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: predictios checked |
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Roger,
Oh.is it? But I never count my success but learning lessons from the failures. I knew the value of my prediction and it spreads like Covid-19 but for the betterment of people in near future.
Shan
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Responses:
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21252 |
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Date: March 18, 2020 at 13:57:50
From: Skywise, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: predictios checked |
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I'm quite a ways away from doing my own analysis of his predictions. I'm still working on tidying up the database downloader and analysis program.
But, I have the next two weeks of free time to work on it. My company was ordered by the county to close due to the corona virus threat. I'll be fine. Just bored.
May everyone stay well and this thing blows over quickly.
Brian
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Responses:
[21253] |
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21253 |
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Date: March 18, 2020 at 14:05:45
From: Roger Hunter, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: predictions checked |
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Brian;
This is not an evaluation, just a check for matching quakes.
I found I had to delete a quake as soon as it matched a prediction or else it would match a dozen others too.
Roger
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Responses:
None |
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