443467
From: akira, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Why are Latinos voting for Trump?
URL: https://www.marcelroman.com/pdfs/wps/latinx_project.pdf
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Marcel Roman@mfrmarcel Why are Latinos voting for Trump? Amanda Sahar d’Urso and I explain part of the puzzle in a new working paper. We show Latinos have backlashed against Democratic politicians due to their usage of, and association with, the gender-inclusive group label "Latinx" 1/n paper linked |
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[443509] [443505] [443489] [443500] [443506] [443493]
443509
From: akira, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Pew
URL: https://www.newsweek.com/latinx-latino-voters-donald-trump-1977268
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excerpt "Depending on where you live or your social media algorithms, you might have seen the term "Latinx" used to describe Hispanics and Latinos over the last few years, as a gender-neutral way to refer to people of Latin American descent or cultural identity in the United States. But new research suggests that not only do many of those exact people dislike it, the word itself may even be pushing them away from the Democratic Party. "Latinx" entered the mainstream lexicon around 2016, gaining traction through its use by liberal celebrities, media and politicians. Democratic figures like Vice President Kamala Harris and President Joe Biden have used the term in public statements. During the 116th Congress, between 2019 and 2021, half of Democratic representatives used it on social media, while Republicans did not use it once. While "Latinx" was intended to be an inclusive term by progressives, it has had the opposite effect among many in the Latino community, according to surveys. A Pew Research survey found that 75 percent of Latinos familiar with the term say it should not be used to describe the Hispanic population, with 36 percent believing it has negative connotations. Now, a new study conducted by professors Amanda Sahar d'Urso from Georgetown and Marcel F. Roman from Harvard University, goes further. Their research found that the label not only alienates Latino voters but may also actively push them toward Republican candidates." |
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443505
From: akira, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Our theory and evidence make several contributions...
URL: https://www.marcelroman.com/pdfs/wps/latinx_project.pdf
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"We present an Identity-Expansion-Backlash Theory (IEBT) to explain how the use of more inclusive group labels by politicians may generate political backlash from relevant group members, particularly, group members who are negatively predisposed toward newly included or salient subgroup members. Consistent with the IEBT, we use five separate representative Latino surveys, one of which is a two-wave panel, (Studies 1-5, combined N = 7062) to provide observational evidence that 1) Latinos are less likely to support a politician who uses the phrase “Latinx,” a gender-inclusive group label, in their appeals to 1When referring to a group label, we use quotation marks; however, when we refer to individuals as a part of an ethno-racial group, we do not use quotation marks. 2 For example, on “BIPOC,” see: https://www.vox.com/2020/6/30/21300294/ bipoc-what-does-it-mean-critical-race-linguistics-jonathan-rosa-deandra- miles-hercules. On “Latinx,” see: https://www.insidehighered.com/views/2023/01/26/ why-i-hate-term-latinx- opinion. On “ADOS,” see: https://abcnews.go.com/US/ controversial-group-ados- divides-black-americans-fight-economic/story?id=66832680. the Hispanic/Latino community; 2) Latinos who oppose the phrase “Latinx” to describe the broader Latino/Hispanic community are less likely to support Democratic politicians who have used or are associated with “Latinx.” Moreover, we demonstrate these statistical patterns are driven by Republican, conservative and anti-LGBTQ+ Latinos that we may expect to be predisposed against the inclusion of queer and gender minority Latinxs. Moreover, we use a large high- quality opt-in online survey of Latinos (N = 7512) after the 2020 election to demonstrate that Latinos who live in areas where “Latinx” is more salient are more likely to vote for Trump in 2020 conditional on negative attitudes toward LGBTQ+ group members (Study 6). Finally, we administer a pre-registered survey experiment using an online opt-in CloudResearch Latino sample (Study 7, N = 971) and provide causal evidence Latinos are less likely to support a politician using “Latinx” instead of “Latino” in their appeals to the Latino/Hispanic community. Consistent with Studies 1-6 and the IEBT, the backlash against politicians who use “Latinx” is driven by Latinos who hold negative attitudes toward LGBTQ+ people. Our theory and evidence make several contributions. First, we offer a general theory for understanding how group labels may affect politician evaluations, particularly among relevant minority ethno-racial group members. U.S. ethno- racial group labels shift over time and are politicized. Newly formulated labels like “BIPOC” and “Latinx” seek to explicitly include and make salient certain population subsets within a broader group category (Black and indigenous people within “people of color,” queer people and gender minorities within “Latinx”). Conversely, other group labels, like “ADOS,” are exclusive of particular group members, such as new immigrants, within another politically relevant group category: Black. Ultimately, politicians who use these different labels can cue a variety of political considerations that may motivate support or backlash among different subsets of the relevant group. We highlight conditions by which the use of inclusive group labels may motivate political backlash against politicians who use them, and offer insights for future extensions and research on the relationship between group labels and politics. 2 Second, we explain part of the puzzle as to why non-whites are increasingly supportive of Republican party politicians. Prior research shows Black people and Latinos are increasingly voting Republican because of ideological sorting (Fraga et al., 2024; Schuett, 2024); that is, non-white conservatives are no longer supporting (and voting for) Democrats like they used to, but rather, Republicans. Our evidence suggests part of the reason socially conservative Latinos are increasingly supporting the Republican party is because of backlash against LGBTQ+-inclusive appeals by Democratic party politicians. Our evidence is consistent with a nascent literature suggesting negative predispositions toward LGBTQ+ people may motivate non-whites to adopt increasingly conservative political stances despite their marginalized position on the ethno-racial hierarchy (Bonilla and Tillery, 2020). Third, we extend and complicate prior work on the political consequences of gender-neutral language usage. Prior research shows increasing the salience of gender neutral language generates positive attitudes toward women and LGBTQ+ group members (P ́erez and Tavits, 2019; Tavits and P ́erez, 2019; Vicun ̃a and P ́erez, 2023). However, this research examines the salience of gender neutral language in contexts that are either not politically polarized on the use of gender neutral language or not explicitly cuing partisan politics. Conversely, our evidence shows when (Democratic) politicians—who are usually more pro- LGBTQ+ than their (Republican) political opponents—use gender neutral group labels like “Latinx,” they experience backlash from Latinos who would have otherwise supported Democratic party politicians but are negatively predisposed against LGBTQ+ people. Thus, we demonstrate the increased salience of gender neutral language may not always produce positive attitudinal shifts in service of the political interests of queer people and gender minorities. The Identity-Expansion-Backlash Theory..." |
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443489
From: Redhart, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Why are Latinos voting for Trump?
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have a hard time that's the secret answer to it lol. I hear "Latinex/Latinx" much less these days. I'm sorry, but that is far too simple an answer for a very complex issue. |
443500
From: akira, [DNS_Address]
Subject: the secret?
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It could be a contributing factor. You didn't read the paper, did you. yeah, what could scholars who do research, ya know, with empirical evidence and all possibly know. And it's a theory. An evidence based theory. |
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443506
From: Redhart, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: the secret?
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yeah, I read it..but I also know hispanic people here and I've never heard them give that as a reason lol. Heck, we have a hispanic/latino branch of our own family and I've never heard that from any of them while talking politics (when we do, which--granted, when with family we're more likely talking about the grandkids and other things). The Hispanic population varies greatly depending on the area of the country and are not a monolith. They argue with each other and are very diverse. If you ask 5 different citizens of hispanic/latino ancestry--you are likely to get 5 different answers. Texas hispanic is very different from Florida hispanic and from California hispanic and from Puerto Rican hispanic. All things said, scholars included, I just think that's too simplistic a theory to explain some of the shifts. |
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443493
From: shadow , [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Why are Latinos voting for Trump?
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...and just fwiw, being in AZ I'm around lots of Hispanic folks, and no, none of them have anything but colorful derision for the GOP and DJT... |
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