442671
From: old timer, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Kamala Harris Gets Bad Sign from New National Poll
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Kamala Harris Gets Bad Sign from New National Poll Published Oct 18, 2024 at 1:19 PM EDT Updated Oct 18, 2024 at 4:11 PM EDT By Jesus Mesa Politics Reporter FOLLOW 130 Vice President Kamala Harris' narrow lead over former President Donald Trump is shrinking, with a new national poll indicating the 2024 presidential race is tightening just weeks before Election Day. A recent Emerson College survey of 1,000 likely voters shows Harris leading Trump by just one percentage point, with 49 percent supporting Harris and 48 percent backing Trump. The poll has a margin of error of three percentage points. The race is now nearly deadlocked, with both candidates splitting the national vote and drawing closer in key battleground states. Harris, who was two points ahead of Trump late last month, is now barely edging out the Republican nominee. This narrowing gap could be a worrying sign for Harris. Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling, said that while the margin between the candidates has held steady since early September, with Harris maintaining a slight edge, "it is less than Biden's four-point lead in Emerson's 2020 national polls at this time." US Vice President Kamala Harris US Vice President Kamala Harris and Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris arrives at Green Bay Austin Straubel International Airport in Green Bay, Wisconsin on October 17, 2024. A recent Emerson College survey of 1,000 likely... More PHOTO BY JACQUELYN MARTIN/POOL/AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES The poll also reveals a clear gender divide. Trump leads among men, with 56 percent backing him, compared to 42 percent who support Harris. Fifty-five percent of women support Harris, while 41 percent say they support Trump. This gap reflects broader U.S. election trends, where men tend to lean toward Trump, while women tend to favor Harris. Voter sentiment also remains deeply polarized, according to the survey. Among those who have already made up their minds, 80 percent said they decided who they were voting for more than a month ago. Early deciders tend to favor Trump (52 percent), while those deciding more recently favor Harris (60 percent). Three percent of voters are still undecided, and although that's a small percentage, it could still shift the outcome of the election, especially in such a close race. Kimball noted that while undecided voters slightly lean toward Harris, the poll's margin of error means their final choice could tip the scales either way. READ MORE Kamala Harris trolls Trump with Fox News interview ratings on Truth Social Jack Smith's evidence dossier against Trump made public: Key takeaways Donald Trump's Barack Obama remarks spark fury from online critics A Good Week for Trump This shrinking gap is especially troubling for Harris, given how past elections have played out. As Kimball pointed out, Joe Biden had a stronger lead over Trump at this stage in the 2020 election, which provided a buffer heading into the final weeks of the campaign. Similarly, Hillary Clinton had a significant edge over Trump in 2016, before Trump made a dramatic comeback in the final weeks before the election. On Thursday, Nate Silver's forecast confirmed the momentum shifting toward Trump, noting that his chances of winning are at their highest since August. The updated model reflected several strong polling numbers in Trump's favor in crucial swing states like Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Silver's latest projections show Trump holding a slight edge in the Electoral College, with a 50.2 percent chance of winning, compared to Harris' 49.5 percent — despite Harris having a 75 percent chance of winning the popular vote. |
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442672
From: Redhart, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Kamala Harris Gets Bad Sign from New National Poll(NT)
| (NT) |
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442674
From: ao, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Kamala Harris Gets Bad Sign from New National Poll(NT)
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I got a call once, back in the late 80's maybe, from a pollster. I think it was a Nielsen rating call. They wanted to know what I was watching. I didn't have a tv, or any reception, and no cable coming by.. I excused myself and hung up. Does that count? |
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442673
From: old timer, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Kamala Harris Gets Bad Sign from New National Poll(NT)
| troll |
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442677
From: ryan, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Kamala Harris Gets Bad Sign from New National Poll
| your definition of what a troll is is quite hilarious...knock off your trolling... |
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442683
From: old timer, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Kamala Harris Gets Bad Sign from New National Poll
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this was a damn good learning opportunity for you to learn the definition of a word you have long been confused about. red responds over and over and over with off topic bullshit such as this meme which is textbook trolling. for some stupid reason you seem to want to call anything you don’t like as trolling and excuse the actual trolling against people you don’t like such as red’s constant trolling of anyone not a leftie |
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442688
From: Redhart, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Kamala Harris Gets Bad Sign from New National Poll
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we get it: anyone who gives you an answer you don't like. |
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442689
From: old timer, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Kamala Harris Gets Bad Sign from New National Poll
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an answer i don’t like?? where in your memes, sayin “moving on” when you never really and “go fish” is there ever an answer? cut the shit red, you know your constant trolling is not attempting to answer anything |
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442694
From: Redhart, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Kamala Harris Gets Bad Sign from New National Poll
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Oh, there's a message there. You just don't like it. moving on (not worth reading), go fish (same shit, different day). Just spelling it out for the little bit slow. |
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442705
From: old timer, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Kamala Harris Gets Bad Sign from New National Poll
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big difference between answers i don’t like (which you never provide) and rude off topic messages. it’s the difference between engaging in discussion and trolling |
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442715
From: Redhart, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Kamala Harris Gets Bad Sign from New National Poll
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things you want to discuss: hunter's laptop. Kamala's laugh. Polls polls polls. Walz's memory of events 35 yrs ago that have no bearing on today's election. None of these things matter or influence my thoughts on this election. Things you want to ignore: Trump's threats to arrest people who don't support him...his strange and erratic behavior...his history of ruin in business and politics, his racist or misogynistic comments or why he think's Putin's the best and how he could think Jan 6 was a lovefest. Trump's criminal record, convictions, indictments and plethora of investigations. Trump's wish to give Ukraine to Putin as a gift, I guess. Trump's wish to support Israel in removing all those irritating Palestinians so he can get started on that new Gaza golf resort. Trump's rapist mind of "no means yes" and if they don't give you what you want, you have every right to just take it anyway (women, elections, top secret documents..whatever). Law doesn't apply to him. His confusion that "strength" means "brutality and oppression". It doesn't. That's a sign of weakness of the mind and spirit, not strength or leadership. |
442725
From: Redhart, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Kamala Harris Gets Bad Sign from New National Poll
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Because Trump is out there doing the most outrageous things, most unpresidential things, and weirdest things, and claiming everyone else is doing things he's already doing, done, planning. How can you not compare his opponent with that? |
442746
From: Redhart, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Kamala Harris Gets Bad Sign from New National Poll
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Well, if you want to talk about "you", please start a new thread. I'm all in. |
442757
From: old timer, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Kamala Harris Gets Bad Sign from New National Poll
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if you want a thread about me look for my post on personal. it will never happen, but national sure as hell isn’t the place to talk about me personally and your constant efforts to make me the subject of discussion instead of national issues is trolling why don’t we talk about the upcoming election and the many articles from political analysts about it? |
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442761
From: Redhart, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Trump's "enemy from within" issue in the upcoming election
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and you do this too... rather than talk about Trump, you'll draw fire onto yourself and call people trolls. So, What did you think about Trump saying he's going after the "enemy within" if he wins..using Adam Schiff as an example of that enemy (meaning democrats and those who don't support him or attempted to bring him to accountability)? What do you think of Trump saying outloud he'll weaponize DOJ, FBI and the rest for a vengence tour ? or, if that's not to your liking, explain why you believe polls more than talking to people, that the internet is more real to you than what you see or hear from real live people here? Or why when the primary polls were way off (Biden over performed by 8-10 points and Trump underperformed by 5- 15 points)you still think they will be accurate now? Pick one of those. My guess is you won't want to discuss trump at all. |
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442724
From: shadow, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Kamala Harris Gets Bad Sign from New National Poll
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OMG Old Timer... PLEASE try...I know you can do it!...to *realize* that there exist valid responses to the "timely news articles that you post," THAT DISAGREE WITH WHAT IS SAID THERE... I know, I know...you clearly need to project *entitlement* onto anyone having the gall to disagree...especially if they use words *that are different from the ones in the article and that, in answer, point in different directions*...something you just can't seem to accept is okay...lol... BUT THE FACT IS, OLD TIMER, THAT PEOPLE ARE *ENTITLED TO DISAGREE WITH YOU*...lol ;D I know you hate it...I know you wish it couldn't/wouldn't happen, and I know you wish you could discount, deflect and disappear anything anyone says that differs w/the article by saying the exact shit you just said...lol... But it can't...and you can't... And OMFG...but trump, but trump, but trump...? Even if Kamala didn't have all kinds of intentions I totally agree with, I'd still be onboard with *but trump* just on humane principle...as is anyone else with functional *humanity*... |
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442712
From: shadow, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Kamala Harris Gets Bad Sign from New National Poll
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That’s right, OT, and by that definition you’re the troll…lol… Red provides answers you don’t like *all the time,* and your only hope in those instances is to spin for all you’re worth….which you have indeed displayed some skill at… But that’s all… |
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442675
From: ao, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Kamala Harris Gets Bad Sign from New National Poll(NT)
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She's not trolling. Methinks she's being honest in that she saw what you posted and had an honest response, and shared it. Simple.. and the best thing to do if you don't like what she said is move on.. let it go.. act like you want others to act.. be 'the better man' Good idea, right? |
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