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442554


Date: October 16, 2024 at 12:09:18
From: shadow, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Harris leads Trump by 5 points among likely voters: poll

URL: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4937017-harris-trump-poll/


Here y'go, pollsters...

***

Vice President Harris is leading former President Trump
by 5 points nationally among likely voters, according to
a Marist Poll survey released Wednesday.

Harris and her running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (D),
received 52 percent support, while Trump and his running
mate, Sen. JD Vance (R-Ohio), received 47 percent support
in the poll conducted Oct 8-10. One percent of
respondents supported a different candidate.

Harris’s lead has grown since the previous Marist poll,
conducted Sept. 27-Oct. 1, when she led Trump by 2 points
among likely voters, with 50 percent support to his 48
percent.

The Trump-Vance ticket performs slightly better against
the Harris-Walz ticket among registered voters, who back
the Democratic ticket over the Republican ticket by 3
points, 51 percent to 48 percent.

A similar 3-point margin separated the tickets in the
previous poll in September, when 50 percent of registered
voters backed Harris and 47 percent backed Trump.

In the latest poll of likely voters, Trump leads Harris
among independents, 54 percent to 44 percent. The 10-
point margin has grown from his 4-point edge against
Harris in the previous poll.

The latest poll comes less than three weeks before voters
head to the polls on Election Day.

“There are two things to keep an eye on in the closing
weeks of the presidential contest. First, when you look
at those who are likely to vote, Harris does better. So
higher turnout favors her,” Lee Miringoff, director of
the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, said in a
statement.

“Second, don’t overlook that the gender gap, which is
expected to be unusually high, cuts both ways. Trump
carries men, and Harris carries women,” Miringoff added.

The race remains neck and neck between the two major
party nominees. In the latest Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
national polling average, Harris leads Trump by 2.8
percentage points, 49.7 percent to 46.9 percent.

The latest Marist Poll included 1,401 likely voters and
had a margin of error of 3.9 percentage points.


Responses:
[442555] [442558]


442555


Date: October 16, 2024 at 12:11:47
From: Redhart, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Harris leads Trump by 5 points among likely voters: poll


Huh..wonder why OT missed that one LOL.

Again, I do not trust these polls, but OT is ever-
entertaining to watch as to what he choses off the
preferred talking points today list.


Responses:
[442558]


442558


Date: October 16, 2024 at 12:28:17
From: shadow, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Harris leads Trump by 5 points among likely voters: poll


I don't either, Red, but like you say...we have to take our
entertainment where we can find it these days and, no doubt
about it, he never fails to deliver... ;)


Responses:
None


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