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442412 |
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Date: October 14, 2024 at 14:31:57
From: old timer, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Trump edges out Harris with early voters in battleground states |
URL: Trump edges out Harris with early voters in battleground states |
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Trump edges out Harris with early voters in battleground states
BY JULIA MUELLER - 10/14/24 5:04 PM ET
Former President Trump has a slight edge over Vice President Harris with early voters in battleground states, new polling shows, a promising sign for the Republican in the highly competitive presidential race.
A Harvard CAPS/Harris poll found 48 percent of voters who said they would cast their ballots early in critical swing states picked Trump, while 47 percent sided with Harris. Another 5 percent of respondents said they went with another choice or had not yet voted.
Trump’s “swing state strategy is paying off,” said Mark Penn, co-director of the poll. Among all voters in the key swing states, Trump was up 2 points, with 48 percent support to Harris’s 46 percent, the survey shows. Harris, though, surges to a strong 8-point lead among early voters nationwide, with 51 percent support to Trump’s 43 percent. Across the board, 45 percent of voters reported they’d be voting early, compared to 50 percent who plan to cast their ballots on Election Day.
A small handful of battleground states will be key to deciding who wins the Oval Office this fall as Harris and Trump enter the homestretch of a razor-tight race, with less than a month until Election Day.
Polling has shown the White House rivals locked in narrow races in Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Pennsylvania and elsewhere as they blitz the swing states with rallies and campaign stops.
Nationally, an aggregate of polling compiled by The Hill/Decision Desk HQ shows the vice president leading her GOP rival by 3 points, with roughly 50 percent support to Trump’s 47 percent. The new Harvard CAPS/Harris poll finds the race even closer, with Harris up just a point over the former president among registered voters overall.
The Harvard/Harris poll, conducted Oct. 11-13, surveyed 3,145 registered voters — including 2,596 likely voters and 898 battleground state voters. The margin of error for the total sample was plus or minus 1.8 percentage points.
Results were weighted for age within gender, region, race/ethnicity, marital status, household size, income, employment, education, political party and political ideology where necessary to align them with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.
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[442419] [442422] [442435] [442437] [442438] [442446] [442479] [442487] [442440] [442423] [442424] [442441] [442456] [442467] [442472] [442478] [442470] |
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442419 |
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Date: October 14, 2024 at 15:03:03
From: Redhart, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Trump edges out Harris with early voters in battleground states |
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Responses:
[442422] [442435] [442437] [442438] [442446] [442479] [442487] [442440] [442423] [442424] [442441] [442456] [442467] [442472] [442478] [442470] |
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442422 |
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Date: October 14, 2024 at 17:23:03
From: old timer, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Trump edges out Harris with early voters in battleground states |
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“It's simple. Harris need people to believe it's close so they turn out.”
you said that just 2 days ago. how can harris need people to believe it’s close without articles on the polls that show it is close which this what this article says? damn red, i’m beginning to think this is personal
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Responses:
[442435] [442437] [442438] [442446] [442479] [442487] [442440] [442423] [442424] [442441] [442456] [442467] [442472] [442478] [442470] |
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442435 |
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Date: October 14, 2024 at 21:34:40
From: Redhart, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Trump edges out Harris with early voters in battleground states |
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come on OT, don't play dumb, or is it not an act?
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Responses:
[442437] [442438] [442446] [442479] [442487] [442440] |
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442437 |
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Date: October 14, 2024 at 21:59:32
From: old timer, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Trump edges out Harris with early voters in battleground states |
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just pointing out you contradict yourself just to continue trolling me which is absurd. be nice if we could find a way to keep you from cluttering up the board with this shit every time i share an article
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Responses:
[442438] [442446] [442479] [442487] [442440] |
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442438 |
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Date: October 14, 2024 at 22:02:30
From: ryan, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Trump edges out Harris with early voters in battleground states |
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if your skin was any thinner you would bleed out...
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Responses:
[442446] [442479] [442487] [442440] |
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442446 |
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Date: October 15, 2024 at 06:27:01
From: akira, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Trump edges out Harris with early voters in battleground states |
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you could say the same for your sick buddy, ao. But you won't.
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Responses:
[442479] [442487] |
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442479 |
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Date: October 15, 2024 at 11:00:00
From: ao, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Trump edges out Harris with early voters in battleground states |
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What I don’t understand is why not blame me for everything? Come on akira, I’m open for all the blame you want to heap.. pile it on! It’s all my fault! Every last morsel..
See, ain’t that cool? Now you can indulge all your silly fantasies and at the end of the day you da bomb, ‘cause it’s all ao’s fault!
Sweet eh? Now you can run over to International and blame the entire ME debacle on me! You can waddle over to Earthwatchers and blame earthquakes on me! Gee, head over to Dreams and blame me for all your nightmares!
Damn.. why didn’t you think of this earlier? Seriously, with ao around you’re faultless! Not cute, I can’t do anything to help you there, but hey, faultless is cool, right?
And to think.. if OT asks nicely he can blame all that ales him on me too!
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[442487] |
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442487 |
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Date: October 15, 2024 at 12:30:03
From: old timer, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Trump edges out Harris with early voters in battleground states |
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they don’t have mirrors in hawaii?
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442440 |
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Date: October 14, 2024 at 23:08:21
From: old timer, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Trump edges out Harris with early voters in battleground states |
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thin skinned? dude i’m laughing my ass off at the way red twists and turns and contradicts herself as part of her stalking and trolling. hell she even was caught cutting out the middle portion of an article because it didn’t support her. when i accepted her challenge last year to start contributing again i knew how she would stalk and troll me so it’s not a surprise. she’s been doing this for years
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442423 |
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Date: October 14, 2024 at 17:41:18
From: akira, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Trump edges out Harris with early voters in battleground states |
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Responses:
[442424] [442441] [442456] [442467] [442472] [442478] [442470] |
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442424 |
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Date: October 14, 2024 at 17:43:45
From: ryan, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Trump edges out Harris with early voters in battleground states |
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or maybe very foxy for someone looking to achieve a blowout win...
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Responses:
[442441] [442456] [442467] [442472] [442478] [442470] |
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442441 |
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Date: October 15, 2024 at 05:18:56
From: akira, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Trump edges out Harris with early voters in battleground states |
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"Harris need people to believe it's close so they turn out.”
This is what I was referring to. Delusional, empty-headed crapola. redhart believes Harris has the power to fabricate & publish a multitude of fake polls to fool the public into believing the presidential race is close to get a larger turnout? In what universe?
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[442456] [442467] [442472] [442478] [442470] |
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442456 |
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Date: October 15, 2024 at 10:05:34
From: Redhart, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Trump edges out Harris with early voters in battleground states |
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No, the GOP seems to be creating/paying for them to inflate averages. They have a history of this (see previous posts links).
Right now it simply serves harris's campaign because of the simple rule that more people will turn out if they think it's close. They don't want a complacent voter base like Hillary had.
Reminder of what happened in 2016 with Hillary when her voters didn't turn out because they thought it was in the bag.
This is not a complex strategy. It's happened before. The links I already posted talked about the bad polls bolstering the "red wave" cry in 2020 that never happened.
If they have done it before, why is it so hard to believe they are doing it again? Looking at the patterns of recent modern elections shows distinct patterns.
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[442467] [442472] [442478] [442470] |
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442467 |
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Date: October 15, 2024 at 10:32:18
From: old timer, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Trump edges out Harris with early voters in battleground states |
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that’s some paranoid shit there red. but the question remains if you feel it serves kamala’s campaign for the polls to show a close election why are you still trolling me when i post articles on polls showing a close election?
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[442472] [442478] [442470] |
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442472 |
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Date: October 15, 2024 at 10:40:59
From: ryan, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Trump edges out Harris with early voters in battleground states |
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why are you still posting off topic bitching?
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[442478] |
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442478 |
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Date: October 15, 2024 at 10:56:50
From: old timer, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Trump edges out Harris with early voters in battleground states |
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the topic is polls and i’m asking red why she keeps trolling posts on polls showing a close election when she says kamala needs polls to show a close election. doesn’t it seem like when i share polls that show what she wants she still whines?
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442470 |
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Date: October 15, 2024 at 10:38:15
From: Redhart, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Trump edges out Harris with early voters in battleground states |
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No, it's actually based in election history.
It's a shame you don't remember 2016 when voters stayed home because they thought Hillary had it in the bag. They sell memory supplements for that.
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