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Date: September 23, 2024 at 10:44:44
From: old timer, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Slight gains for Trump in Sun Belt as race remains tight, new polls sh |
URL: Slight gains for Trump in Sun Belt as race remains tight, new polls show |
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Slight gains for Trump in Sun Belt as race remains tight, new polls show
Donald Trump has slight leads ahead of Kamala Harris in Arizona, Georgia
and North Carolina, according to the New York Times/Siena College polls.
By Emmy Martin
09/23/2024 11:48 AM EDT
Donald Trump is pulling slightly ahead of Kamala Harris in three
battleground Sun Belt states, according to new polling from the New York
Times/Siena College published Monday.
The former president is now 5 percentage points ahead in Arizona, with
50 percent to Harris’ 45 percent, and leads in Georgia by 4 percentage
points. Both of those leads are within the margins of sampling error. In
North Carolina, the candidates are neck and neck: Trump with 49 percent
to Harris’ 47 percent.
The results flip Times/Siena polling from August in Arizona and North
Carolina that showed Harris slightly ahead by the same margins Trump is
now, while he remained ahead in Georgia. On Labor Day, polling averages
were even narrower in all three states.
Harris is still faring better than President Joe Biden did in Times/Siena
polling in May, when Trump led Biden by 8 and 9 percentage points in
Georgia and Arizona, respectively. That poll did not include North
Carolina.
Trump’s slight momentum doesn’t appear to have translated to
Republicans down the ballot, according to Monday’s polls. In the Arizona
Senate race, Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego leads Republican Kari Lake
by 6 percentage points. In North Carolina, Democratic candidate for
governor Josh Stein leads Republican Mark Robinson 47 percent to 37
percent. The poll was conducted mostly before reports that Robinson had
posted salacious comments on a porn website — which he denies — were
made public.
The New York Times/Siena College polls were conducted Sept. 17-21,
surveying 713 voters in Arizona, 682 voters in Georgia and 682 voters in
North Carolina. The polls have margins of error of plus or minus 4.4
percentage points in Arizona, plus or minus 4.6 percentage points in
Georgia and plus or minus 4.2 percentage points in North Carolina.
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441531 |
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Date: September 23, 2024 at 10:52:28
From: ryan, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: Slight gains for Trump in Sun Belt as race remains tight, new... |
URL: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4893215-harris-slightly-improves-lead-over-trump-in-battleground-states-poll/ |
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Harris slightly improves lead over Trump in battleground states: Poll
by Lauren Irwin - 09/22/24 3:13 PM ET
Vice President Harris has improved her lead over former President Trump in battleground states, but the race still remains close, a new survey found.
The poll, conducted by CBS News and YouGov, found Harris increased her lead in battleground states after the presidential debate and comes out on top with 51 percent support to Trump’s 49 percent. The battleground states included in the survey are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Both campaigns have been working hard to win over voters in the critical swing states. For Harris, it may be working.
Once seen as states that would go to Trump, North Carolina and Georgia have shifted to toss-ups in polling averages maintained by The Hill/Decision Desk HQ.
Nationally, Harris has a 4-point lead, with 52 percent support to Trump’s 48 percent, the survey found.
Harris is also improving among voters who say the economy is a major issue. In August, Trump was leading by 13 points, and now, Harris has closed that gap to 6 points.
More voters are also likely to say the economy is doing well compared to in August.
CBS noted Harris’s debate performance, which was widely viewed as a win, firmed up support among previous Biden voters who may have been on the fence about the vice president.
She also is far more personally liked than Trump, though voters who say policies are very important are split, the survey found.
Trump’s debate performance, where he made a false claim about Haitian migrants eating pets, didn’t lose him support among his base.
Most voters said they think the claims about migrants in Springfield are false, but two-thirds of Trump voters approve of the former president making the claim, even if it’s been debunked.
The survey was conducted Sept. 18-20 among 3,129 registered voters. It has a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points.
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