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440884 |
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Date: September 09, 2024 at 14:32:51
From: old timer, [DNS_Address]
Subject: New poll delivers warning signals to Harris |
URL: New poll delivers warning signals to Harris |
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New poll delivers warning signals to Harris
BY AMIE PARNES - 09/09/24 5:00 PM ET
AP Photo/Susan Walsh
A string of recent polls is delivering warning signs for Vice President
Harris ahead of the critical presidential debate Tuesday evening.
A New York Times/Siena College poll released Sunday showed former
President Trump holding a 1-point lead nationally, suggesting the Harris
honeymoon as the Democratic nominee could be coming to a close.
It showed tight races in the seven battleground states, signaling the race
for the White House could go in either direction.
It also showed that while 90 percent of voters said they knew everything
they need to know about Trump, a smaller 71 percent said they know
everything they need to know about Harris.
That suggests the vice president could have more at stake during the
debate, when one of the largest audiences of the campaign season will
tune in to consider their choices.
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Democrats, who have been through a roller-coaster of emotions after
President Biden’s disastrous debate, his exit from the race and Harris’s
entry, are now being confronted with polls that suggest Trump has an
enduring strength, no matter his opponent.
“We still have some race to run, but here’s the thing that worries me:
We’re up against a guy who is a convicted felon, he was a terrible
president and he continues to be a terrible human, and this race is still
tight as a tick,” said one Democratic strategist. “We never got the
expected bounce out of the convention, and I think some folks expected
to have a larger advantage going into the final stretch of the campaign.”
Other Democrats said the latest polls could also help Harris and motivate
her party.
“She’s right to call herself an underdog,” said Anthony Coley, a
Democratic strategist who served in the Biden administration until last
year. “I’m glad this poll came out. It’s a gift to Democrats …and it’s a
wake-up call in many ways.”
Tuesday night’s debate could help elevate Harris’s standing, Democrats
say, pointing to polls that indicate there’s more room for the vice
president to grow support than Trump, who they say may have hit his
ceiling.
“It can make or break her,” the Democratic strategist said. “Early voting is
starting in some states, and we don’t have a lot of time and we’re not
exactly where we want to be, as the Times poll shows.”
Nate Silver, the renowned polling analyst, wrote in his Substack
newsletter on Monday that the New York Times/Siena survey reflected a
shift in momentum from Harris to Trump.
He warned that Harris could face obstacles in the final weeks of the
campaign as Republicans continue to label her as a progressive while
highlighting her previous positions on fracking, immigration and health
care. The Times poll showed 44 percent of those surveyed said Harris is
too progressive — showing Republicans have had some success in
defining her — while only 32 percent of those surveyed said Trump is too
conservative.
Silver said Harris “blew one big opportunity to tack to the center with her
selection of Tim Walz rather than Josh Shapiro: that a tiny minority of
progressives objected to Shapiro was an argument in Shapiro’s favor, if
anything.”
“I think Walz was a decent enough pick on his own merits, but given an
opportunity to offer a tangible signal of the direction her presidency was
headed, she reverted to 2019 mode,” Silver wrote.
Democratic strategist Christy Setzer, however, noted Harris has rallied her
base, drawing thousands to her events while outraising Trump. The Harris
campaign nearly tripled Trump’s fundraising in August, pulling in $361
million, it announced last week.
“Anyone worried that a single poll, showing Trump up by a single point, is
reason to freak out, needs more drama in their life,” Setzer said. “If the
race is close or tied, as we keep saying it is, then by definition Trump will
be leading at least once or twice in the polls.
“She’s spent the last six weeks putting together an entire campaign,
reversing all the trends, taking in more than half a billion dollars, and
filling a bunch of stadiums in swing states,” she added. “Over the next two
months, those people and those dollars will be deployed in a way Trump
just can’t match.”
Democratic strategist Joel Payne agreed, saying Democrats “could not
have asked for a better six weeks” from Harris.
“The paths that Kamala Harris has to 270 [electoral votes] have expanded
from when she stepped into the race,” Payne said.
Still, he added that Democrats “feel confident but are by no means
overconfident” about the state of play in the race.
In the coming weeks, Democrats say Harris needs to talk about her policy
platforms including the economy, which has consistently been a top issue
for voters.
While Harris has been criticized for not sitting down for more media
interviews, many Democrats feel it’s not necessary.
“I don’t think voters sit up at night thinking she’s only talked to Dana Bash
since she entered the race as the nominee,” a second Democratic
strategist said of the CNN anchor.
Even though she’s the so-called underdog, Harris “has the wind at her
back,” Coley said.
“You’d much rather be Kamala Harris than Donald Trump, even with that
New York Times poll.”
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Responses:
[440908] [440922] [440938] [440887] [440923] |
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440908 |
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Date: September 09, 2024 at 18:24:17
From: akira, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: New poll delivers warning signals to Harris |
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I'm eager to see how much farther to the right her rhetoric is going to become,
beginning with the debate.
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Responses:
[440922] [440938] |
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440922 |
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Date: September 09, 2024 at 19:48:29
From: old timer, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: New poll delivers warning signals to Harris |
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most of her campaign staff is still biden’s team so they are trying to make
her as generic and middle of the road as possible. but other than
teleprompter rally speeches we really haven’t heard much from her. the
debate is very big at this point
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Responses:
[440938] |
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440938 |
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Date: September 10, 2024 at 02:08:15
From: akira, [DNS_Address]
Subject: performance art for the masses(NT) |
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Responses:
None |
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440887 |
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Date: September 09, 2024 at 15:15:30
From: Redhart, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: New poll delivers warning signals to Harris |
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not worried. I'm looking around..their enthusiams and
participation is down at their events in our area (a
red district), and the same is up for their
counterparts right now.
I'm hearing of republicans who, despite their
registration and past Trump votes, and considering just
staying home and sitting it out. They're tired of
Trump..been there done that, they are not opening their
checkbooks like they used to, etc. They just want to
move on.
That's what I see "in a red district" and talking to
the townsfolk.
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Responses:
[440923] |
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440923 |
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Date: September 09, 2024 at 20:28:45
From: mitra, [DNS_Address]
Subject: Re: New poll delivers warning signals to Harris |
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In a blood-red state I'm seeing very few Trump signs
compared to last election.
No telling how they will vote, but they just aren't as
proud to be thought stupid and playing the suckers as
they were last presidential election.
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Responses:
None |
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