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..The Daily Mail tends to publish stories utilizing sensationalized headlines with emotionally loaded wordings such as “Woman, 63, ‘becomes PREGNANT in the mouth’ with baby squid after eating calamari”, which is a misleading headline. In 2017, Wikipedia banned the Daily Mail as an ‘unreliable’ source. When it comes to sourcing information, they use minimal hyperlinked sourcing and sourcing to themselves. Further, a Reuters Institute survey found that 26% of respondents trust their news coverage and 47% do not, ranking them #11 in trust of the major UK news providers. In general, most stories favor the right; however, the Daily Mail will report either side of the story is sensational enough...
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Hey, Red, while I agree with you about the questionable source, and I note in the sourced article there is no link back to the original research being reported, and their graphics which mimic the original and yet turn them into cartoons verses the actual graphics with the research, all of which I find editorially disturbing, because of the actual source, and their validity (and my personal relationship with staff at PNSC), here is (what I believe to be) the Abstract and Introduction of original study.
The full paper, as published by Science Advances, is at the link above..
Full Research Paper Title: Subducting plate structure and megathrust morphology from deep seismic imaging linked to earthquake rupture segmentation at Cascadia
Abstract
The origin of rupture segmentation along subduction zone megathrusts and linkages to the structural evolution of the subduction zone are poorly understood. Here, regional-scale seismic imaging of the Cascadia margin is used to characterize the megathrust spanning ~900 km from Vancouver Island to the California border, across the seismogenic zone to a few tens of kilometers from the coast. Discrete domains in lower plate geometry and sediment underthrusting are identified, not evident in prior regional plate models, which align with changes in lithology and structure of the upper plate and interpreted paleo-rupture patches. Strike-slip faults in the lower plate associated with oblique subduction mark boundaries between regions of distinct lower plate geometry. Their formation may be linked to changes in upper plate structure across long-lived upper plate faults. The Juan de Fuca plate is fragmenting within the seismogenic zone at Cascadia as the young plate bends beneath the heterogeneous upper plate resulting in structural domains that coincide with paleo-rupture segmentation.
INTRODUCTION
Subduction zone megathrust faults rupture in patches and repeat ruptures can have similar slip distributions (1, 2). However, dynamic rupture processes are complex and slip histories show that rupture segments can be maintained in some events and breached in others. What gives rise to rupture segmentation and its persistence over repeat earthquake cycles is a question of ongoing debate and a critical need for hazard assessment and monitoring [e.g., (3, 4)]. The geometry of the plate interface plays an important role in modulating rupture characteristics and size [e.g., (5–7)] and there is considerable evidence that morphologic heterogeneities on the lower plate including seamounts and fracture zones can serve as barriers to rupture propagation in some settings (2, 8). The geometry and depth of the plate boundary zone also contributes to other fault zone properties fundamental for seismogenesis and earthquake propagation, including depth-dependent frictional properties and rheology, and the mineral alteration and dehydration reactions that contribute to the hydrogeology of the plate interface fault (9, 10). The morphology and depth of the plate interface evolves as the downgoing lithospheric plate bends in response to regional tectonic stresses and as a function of its strength and structure. Plate bending typically begins in the outer rise and can result in spatial variations in brittle deformation and near-trench plate hydration that leads to weakening of the subducting plate (11) and contributes to the distribution of seismicity further downdip (12). Recent studies highlight how variations in bending of the lower plate can develop under the wedge due to along- margin changes in the strength and weight of the upper plate, also contributing to segmentation in earthquake slip along the plate interface (13, 14). Other studies indicate variations in upper plate strength and lithology modulate frictional state along the plate interface and may play the primary role in rupture segmentation (15–17). Unraveling the role of upper and lower plate properties and their impact on fault frictional state and rupture potential is complex and requires detailed characterization of plate interface geometry and physical properties across multiple rupture segments. This information is currently lacking at most subduction zones.
The Cascadia subduction zone (CSZ) has hosted giant earthquakes of moment magnitude >8.5 in the past and poses a major geohazard to populations of the Pacific Northwest (7). The CSZ exhibits along-margin segmentation in paleoslip indicators, current state of locking, plate interface microseismicity, and in patterns of episodic tremor and slip (ETS) (17–23). However, the extent to which indicators of paleo-rupture segmentation at Cascadia reflect the presence of persistent barriers to rupture propagation, how variations in current fault locking are linked to paleo-rupture segmentation, and what physical characteristics are driving megathrust segmentation are poorly understood as is the significance of these observations for dynamic rupture in future earthquakes [e.g., (3, 4)]. Accurate characterization of plate interface depth and geometry is needed to evaluate earthquake source and rupture scenarios but with the unusual lack of background seismicity within the seismogenic zone along much of this margin (20, 24, 25), its geometry and depth have greater uncertainty than at many subduction zones. Data constraints for the seismogenic zone, which is inferred to lie largely offshore at Cascadia (4, 9) are particularly sparse and current models of slab geometry (24, 26, 27) provide a low- resolution smoothed surface with little apparent relationship to segmentation in slip indicators.
In this study, we present constraints from a new multichannel seismic (MCS) investigation of the geometry of the downgoing Juan de Fuca (JdF)– Explorer–Gorda plates and plate interface fault within the Cascadia seismogenic zone, providing insights into slip behavior segmentation, and the evolution of plate geometry as it descends. Modern long-offset MCS techniques provide the best tools available for imaging at seismogenic zone depths, revealing the subsurface architecture in high resolution, and providing constraints on material properties along the megathrust that contribute to frictional state. Our study makes use of ~5500 km of data acquired with a 12- to-15-km-long receiver array on a quasi-regular grid composed of intersecting margin crossing and parallel profiles spanning over 900 km along the plate boundary from the northernmost Gorda plate to the northern limit of subduction offshore Vancouver Island. The MCS data were acquired during the Cascadia Seismic Imaging Experiment 2021 (CASIE21), supplemented with ~750 km of data from the 2012 JdF ridge-to- trench study (Materials and Methods and Fig. 1 and fig. S1). Both datasets have been processed to prestack depth migration (PSDM) using advanced methods for noise and multiple suppression, velocity model building, and migration and provide high-resolution structural and physical property information for the plate interface zone, overlying accretionary wedge and downgoing plates. The dataset, along with others acquired as part of the CASIE21 experiment (28), support the development of a new structural framework for the offshore margin and is available to the community for other future studies. The results provide greatly increased resolution of the three-dimensional (3D) geometry of the lower plate and plate interface across much of the critical seismogenic portion of the megathrust reaching within a few tens of kilometers from the coast for much of the margin. In key areas, the results suggest substantial differences in plate depth and shape from commonly used current models (24, 27).
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